Ayomanor
WR · TEN vs BAL
Proj pts
6.3pts
market
Slayton
WR · NYG vs ARI
Proj pts
6pts
market
Darius Slayton or Elic Ayomanor: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Elic Ayomanor over Darius Slayton by 0.3. Elic Ayomanor leads at 6.3. Darius Slayton is the first one out, 0.3 short.
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A+ vs WR
Cons
- Low team total15.5 team total
- Shaky floor3.0 floor
Cons
- Thin volume4.5 targets/g
- Shaky floor4.4 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is implied team total: Ayomanor 15.5, Slayton 21.0.
Latest game on the card: Ayomanor 2.1, Slayton 9.4 (PPR points).
Why Elic Ayomanor
Start Elic Ayomanor — projects 6.3, a favorable matchup vs BAL.
Elic Ayomanor projects 6.3 points on a 3.0–8.9 range. The matchup grades as favorable against BAL. Usage: targets / game at 5.6. Net: start Elic Ayomanor this week.
Working for Ayomanor: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A+ vs WR).
Working against Ayomanor: Low team total (15.5 team total), Shaky floor (3.0 floor).
Where Ayomanor leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.3 vs 6.0); Target share (19% vs 15%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A+ vs C+); Last 3 avg (6.4 vs 5.6); Last 5 avg (8.2 vs 8.0); vs season (+1.7 vs +0.4); Targets / game (5.6 vs 4.5).
Why Darius Slayton
Sit Darius Slayton — projects 6.0, an even matchup vs ARI.
Darius Slayton projects 6.0 points on a 4.4–12.3 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ARI. Usage: targets / game at 4.5. Net: bench Darius Slayton this week.
Working against Slayton: Thin volume (4.5 targets/g), Shaky floor (4.4 floor).
Where Slayton leads the head-to-head: Floor (4.4 vs 3.0); Ceiling (12.3 vs 8.9); Implied team total (21.0 vs 15.5); Boom rate (21% vs 19%); Bust rate (21% vs 25%).
Recent form
Elic Ayomanor's last 5 games: PPR points 13.7, 8, 8.1, 8.9, 2.1 (oldest to newest).
Darius Slayton's last 5 games: PPR points 14.1, 9.3, 1.8, 5.6, 9.4 (oldest to newest).
Ayomanor has already beaten Slayton's 6 projection in 4 of his 5; Slayton has beaten Ayomanor's 6.3 in 3 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Elic Ayomanor (TEN) faces BAL, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 15.5, spread +11.5.
Darius Slayton (NYG) faces ARI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread +2.5.
What flips it
Ayomanor's edge is 0.3 points (6.3 to 6). Slayton's ceiling (12.3) clears Ayomanor's projection, so a big game from Slayton flips it. Ayomanor's floor (3) sits under Slayton's projection, so a quiet game from Ayomanor flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)