Allen
WR · IND vs WAS
QuestionableProj pts
6.5pts
market
Mooney
WR · NYG vs ARI
Proj pts
6.3pts
market
Darnell Mooney or Keenan Allen: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Keenan Allen over Darnell Mooney by 0.2. Keenan Allen leads at 6.5. Darnell Mooney is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Crowd: 44% of managers started Allen.
Availability & news
Keenan AllenQuestionable · Practice: Limited
Allen was a limited participant in Thursday's practice due to a groin injury.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs WR
Cons
- Rotational snaps56% of snaps
- Shaky floor4.1 floor
Cons
- Thin volume4.8 targets/g
- Shaky floor4.6 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Allen 17, Mooney 8.
Allen (Questionable · Practice: Limited): “Allen was a limited participant in Thursday's practice due to a groin injury.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Allen 18.3, Mooney 4.9 (PPR points).
Why Keenan Allen
Start Keenan Allen — projects 6.5, a favorable matchup vs WAS.
Keenan Allen projects 6.5 points on a 4.1–10.2 range. The matchup grades as favorable against WAS. Usage: targets / game at 7.2. Net: start Keenan Allen this week.
Working for Allen: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs WR).
Working against Allen: Rotational snaps (56% of snaps), Shaky floor (4.1 floor).
Where Allen leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.5 vs 6.3); Ceiling (10.2 vs 6.7); Target share (22% vs 16%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A- vs C+); Implied team total (26.0 vs 21.0); Last 3 avg (9.7 vs 5.5); Last 5 avg (8.5 vs 5.4); vs season (+0.3 vs -0.6); Consistency (41% vs 33%); Boom rate (24% vs 20%); Bust rate (18% vs 33%); Targets / game (7.2 vs 4.8); Red zone targets (17 vs 8).
Why Darnell Mooney
Sit Darnell Mooney — projects 6.3, an even matchup vs ARI.
Darnell Mooney projects 6.3 points on a 4.6–6.7 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ARI. Usage: targets / game at 4.8. Net: bench Darnell Mooney this week.
Working against Mooney: Thin volume (4.8 targets/g), Shaky floor (4.6 floor).
Where Mooney leads the head-to-head: Floor (4.6 vs 4.1); Snap share (82% vs 56%).
Recent form
Keenan Allen's last 5 games: PPR points 2.7, 10.6, 9.2, 1.5, 18.3 (oldest to newest).
Darnell Mooney's last 5 games: PPR points 5.5, 5, 4.7, 6.8, 4.9 (oldest to newest).
Allen has already beaten Mooney's 6.3 projection in 3 of his 5; Mooney has beaten Allen's 6.5 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Keenan Allen (IND) faces WAS, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -3.5.
Darnell Mooney (NYG) faces ARI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread +2.5.
What flips it
Allen's edge is 0.2 points (6.5 to 6.3). Mooney's ceiling (6.7) clears Allen's projection, so a big game from Mooney flips it. Allen's floor (4.1) sits under Mooney's projection, so a quiet game from Allen flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)