Williams
WR · NYJ vs CHI
Proj pts
8.1pts
market
Moore
WR · BUF vs NE
QuestionableProj pts
7.9pts
market
DJ Moore or Isaiah Williams: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Isaiah Williams over DJ Moore by 0.2. Isaiah Williams leads at 8.1. DJ Moore is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Crowd: 78% of managers started Moore.
Availability & news
Isaiah Williams
Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.(rotowire, Sep 29, 2026)
DJ MooreQuestionable · Practice: Limited
Moore (shoulder) remained a limited participant at Thursday's practice.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs WR
- Big-play upside40% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share9% target share
- Thin volume2.4 targets/g
Pros
- High-scoring spot27.8 team total
- Spike upside22.5 ceiling
Cons
- Thin volume5.0 targets/g
- Shaky floor2.0 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Williams 1, Moore 13.
Williams: “Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.” — RotoWire, Sep 29, 2026.
Moore (Questionable · Practice: Limited): “Moore (shoulder) remained a limited participant at Thursday's practice.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Williams 3.1, Moore 12.7 (PPR points).
Why Isaiah Williams
Start Isaiah Williams — projects 8.1, a favorable matchup vs CHI.
Isaiah Williams projects 8.1 points on a 2.7–9.6 range. The matchup grades as favorable against CHI. Usage: targets / game at 2.4. Net: start Isaiah Williams this week.
Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs WR), Big-play upside (40% boom weeks).
Working against Williams: Low target share (9% target share), Thin volume (2.4 targets/g).
Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.1 vs 7.9); Floor (2.7 vs 2.0); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A- vs C); vs season (+0.8 vs -3.6); Consistency (23% vs 22%); Boom rate (40% vs 24%).
Why DJ Moore
Sit DJ Moore — projects 7.9, an even matchup vs NE.
DJ Moore projects 7.9 points on a 2.0–22.5 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NE. Usage: targets / game at 5.0. Net: bench DJ Moore this week.
Working for Moore: High-scoring spot (27.8 team total), Spike upside (22.5 ceiling).
Working against Moore: Thin volume (5.0 targets/g), Shaky floor (2.0 floor).
Where Moore leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (22.5 vs 9.6); Target share (16% vs 9%); Implied team total (27.8 vs 20.0); Last 3 avg (11.2 vs 5.2); Last 5 avg (7.5 vs 6.1); Bust rate (35% vs 40%); Targets / game (5.0 vs 2.4); Snap share (85% vs 36%); Red zone targets (13 vs 1).
Recent form
Isaiah Williams's last 5 games: PPR points 7.5, 7.4, 1.7, 10.8, 3.1 (oldest to newest).
DJ Moore's last 5 games: PPR points 1.7, 2.1, 21, -0.1, 12.7 (oldest to newest).
Williams has already beaten Moore's 7.9 projection in 1 of his 5; Moore has beaten Williams's 8.1 in 2 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Isaiah Williams (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.
DJ Moore (BUF) faces NE, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.8, spread -7.0.
What flips it
Williams's edge is 0.2 points (8.1 to 7.9). Moore's ceiling (22.5) clears Williams's projection, so a big game from Moore flips it. Williams's floor (2.7) sits under Moore's projection, so a quiet game from Williams flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)