Moore
WR · BUF vs NE
QuestionableProj pts
7.9pts
market
Wilson
WR · PIT vs CLE
Final pts
16.4pts
7.7 proj · +8.7
DJ Moore or Roman Wilson: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean DJ Moore over Roman Wilson by 0.2. DJ Moore leads at 7.9. Roman Wilson is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Crowd: 78% of managers started Moore.
Availability & news
DJ MooreQuestionable · Practice: Limited
Moore (shoulder) remained a limited participant at Thursday's practice.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- High-scoring spot27.8 team total
- Spike upside22.5 ceiling
Cons
- Thin volume5.0 targets/g
- Shaky floor2.0 floor
Cons
- Low target share8% target share
- Thin volume2.3 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Moore 13, Wilson 1.
Moore (Questionable · Practice: Limited): “Moore (shoulder) remained a limited participant at Thursday's practice.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Moore 12.7 (PPR points).
Why DJ Moore
Start DJ Moore — projects 7.9, an even matchup vs NE.
DJ Moore projects 7.9 points on a 2.0–22.5 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NE. Usage: targets / game at 5.0. Net: start DJ Moore this week.
Working for Moore: High-scoring spot (27.8 team total), Spike upside (22.5 ceiling).
Working against Moore: Thin volume (5.0 targets/g), Shaky floor (2.0 floor).
Where Moore leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.9 vs 7.7); Floor (2.0 vs 1.4); Ceiling (22.5 vs 9.6); Target share (16% vs 8%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C vs D-); Implied team total (27.8 vs 20.5); Last 3 avg (11.2 vs 9.5); Consistency (22% vs 0%); Boom rate (24% vs 22%); Bust rate (35% vs 56%); Targets / game (5.0 vs 2.3); Snap share (85% vs 42%); Red zone targets (13 vs 1).
Why Roman Wilson
Sit Roman Wilson — projects 7.7, a tough matchup vs CLE, with a rising role.
Roman Wilson projects 7.7 points on a 1.4–9.6 range. The matchup grades as tough against CLE. Usage: targets / game at 2.3. Net: bench Roman Wilson this week.
Working against Wilson: Low target share (8% target share), Thin volume (2.3 targets/g).
Where Wilson leads the head-to-head: Last 5 avg (9.5 vs 7.5); vs season (+4.3 vs -3.6).
Recent form
DJ Moore's last 5 games: PPR points 1.7, 2.1, 21, -0.1, 12.7 (oldest to newest).
Roman Wilson's last 3 games: PPR points 5.6, 7.8, 15 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Moore has already beaten Wilson's 7.7 projection in 2 of his 5; Wilson has beaten Moore's 7.9 in 1 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
DJ Moore (BUF) faces NE, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.8, spread -7.0.
Roman Wilson (PIT) played CLE (final: CLE 27 – 24 PIT). The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.5, spread -2.5.
What flips it
Moore's edge is 0.2 points (7.9 to 7.7). Wilson's ceiling (9.6) clears Moore's projection, so a big game from Wilson flips it. Moore's floor (2) sits under Wilson's projection, so a quiet game from Moore flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)