nuvela.ai
Scoring
#1 Start

Meyers

WR · CIN vs JAX

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7.8pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Bourne

WR · ARI vs NYG

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7.6pts

market

Lower Conf

Dohnte Meyers or Kendrick Bourne: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Dohnte Meyers over Kendrick Bourne by 0.2. Dohnte Meyers leads at 7.8. Kendrick Bourne is the first one out, 0.2 short.

Crowd: 12% of managers started Meyers.

Highlights

Dohnte MeyersStart
WR · CIN vs JAX

Pros

  • High-scoring spot27.0 team total
  • Reliable100% consistency

Cons

  • Low target share7% target share
  • Thin volume2.3 targets/g
Kendrick BourneBench
WR · ARI vs NYG

Pros

  • Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs WR

Cons

  • Low target share11% target share
  • Thin volume3.8 targets/g

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

MeyersStart
BourneBench
Projection7.87.6
Floor—3.1
Ceiling—9.6
Target share7%11%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)B-B+
Implied team total27.023.5

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Meyers 3.2, Bourne 7.6.

Why Dohnte Meyers

Start Dohnte Meyers — projects 7.8, an even matchup vs JAX.

Dohnte Meyers projects 7.8 points. The matchup grades as neutral against JAX. Usage: targets / game at 2.3. Net: start Dohnte Meyers this week.

Working for Meyers: High-scoring spot (27.0 team total), Reliable (100% consistency).

Working against Meyers: Low target share (7% target share), Thin volume (2.3 targets/g).

Where Meyers leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.8 vs 7.6); Implied team total (27.0 vs 23.5); Consistency (100% vs 0%); Bust rate (0% vs 29%).

Why Kendrick Bourne

Sit Kendrick Bourne — projects 7.6, a favorable matchup vs NYG, with a rising role.

Kendrick Bourne projects 7.6 points on a 3.1–9.6 range. The matchup grades as favorable against NYG. Usage: targets / game at 3.8. Net: bench Kendrick Bourne this week.

Working for Bourne: Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs WR).

Working against Bourne: Low target share (11% target share), Thin volume (3.8 targets/g).

Where Bourne leads the head-to-head: Target share (11% vs 7%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs B-); Last 3 avg (7.6 vs 3.2); Last 5 avg (7.6 vs 3.2); vs season (+3.1 vs +0.0); Boom rate (14% vs 0%); Targets / game (3.8 vs 2.3); Snap share (62% vs 30%); Red zone targets (2 vs 0).

Recent form

Dohnte Meyers's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 3.8, 5.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Kendrick Bourne's last 3 games: PPR points 3.1, 4.2, 15.5 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Meyers has already beaten Bourne's 7.6 projection in 0 of his 3; Bourne has beaten Meyers's 7.8 in 1 of his 3.

Matchup

Dohnte Meyers (CIN) faces JAX, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.0, spread -2.5.

Kendrick Bourne (ARI) faces NYG, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread -2.5.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.

This week's toughest calls