nuvela.ai
Scoring
#1 Start

Bryant

WR · DEN vs SF

Sun 4:25 PM

Proj pts

8.3pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Meyers

WR · CIN vs JAX

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7.8pts

market

Lower Conf

Dohnte Meyers or Pat Bryant: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Pat Bryant over Dohnte Meyers by 0.5. Pat Bryant leads at 8.3. Dohnte Meyers is the first one out, 0.5 short.

Crowd: 12% of managers started Meyers.

Highlights

Pat BryantStart
WR · DEN vs SF

Cons

  • Low target share11% target share
  • Thin volume3.8 targets/g
Dohnte MeyersBench
WR · CIN vs JAX

Pros

  • High-scoring spot27.0 team total
  • Reliable100% consistency

Cons

  • Low target share7% target share
  • Thin volume2.3 targets/g

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

BryantStart
MeyersBench
Projection8.37.8
Floor7.2—
Ceiling13.1—
Target share11%7%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)B-B-
Implied team total22.327.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is consistency: Bryant 30%, Meyers 100%.

Why Pat Bryant

Start Pat Bryant — projects 8.3, an even matchup vs SF.

Pat Bryant projects 8.3 points on a 7.2–13.1 range. The matchup grades as neutral against SF. Usage: targets / game at 3.8. Net: start Pat Bryant this week.

Working against Bryant: Low target share (11% target share), Thin volume (3.8 targets/g).

Where Bryant leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.3 vs 7.8); Target share (11% vs 7%); Last 3 avg (8.1 vs 3.2); Last 5 avg (8.1 vs 3.2); Boom rate (25% vs 0%); Targets / game (3.8 vs 2.3); Snap share (53% vs 30%); Red zone targets (8 vs 0).

Why Dohnte Meyers

Sit Dohnte Meyers — projects 7.8, an even matchup vs JAX.

Dohnte Meyers projects 7.8 points. The matchup grades as neutral against JAX. Usage: targets / game at 2.3. Net: bench Dohnte Meyers this week.

Working for Meyers: High-scoring spot (27.0 team total), Reliable (100% consistency).

Working against Meyers: Low target share (7% target share), Thin volume (2.3 targets/g).

Where Meyers leads the head-to-head: Implied team total (27.0 vs 22.3); vs season (+0.0 vs -0.5); Consistency (100% vs 30%); Bust rate (0% vs 25%).

Recent form

Pat Bryant's last 3 games: PPR points 1.6, 8.2, 14.4 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Dohnte Meyers's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 3.8, 5.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Bryant has already beaten Meyers's 7.8 projection in 2 of his 3; Meyers has beaten Bryant's 8.3 in 0 of his 3.

Matchup

Pat Bryant (DEN) faces SF, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 22.3, spread +3.0.

Dohnte Meyers (CIN) faces JAX, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.0, spread -2.5.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.

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