nuvela.ai
Scoring
#1 Start

Meyers

WR · CIN vs JAX

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7.8pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Wilson

WR · PIT vs CLE

FinalCLE 27 – 24 PIT

Final pts

16.4pts

7.7 proj · +8.7

Dohnte Meyers or Roman Wilson: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Dohnte Meyers over Roman Wilson by 0.1. Dohnte Meyers leads at 7.8. Roman Wilson is the first one out, 0.1 short.

Crowd: 12% of managers started Meyers.

Highlights

Dohnte MeyersStart
WR · CIN vs JAX

Pros

  • High-scoring spot27.0 team total
  • Reliable100% consistency

Cons

  • Low target share7% target share
  • Thin volume2.3 targets/g
Roman WilsonBench
WR · PIT vs CLE

Cons

  • Low target share8% target share
  • Thin volume2.3 targets/g

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

MeyersStart
WilsonBench
Projection7.87.7
Floor—1.4
Ceiling—9.6
Target share7%8%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)B-D-
Implied team total27.020.5

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Meyers 3.2, Wilson 9.5.

Why Dohnte Meyers

Start Dohnte Meyers — projects 7.8, an even matchup vs JAX.

Dohnte Meyers projects 7.8 points. The matchup grades as neutral against JAX. Usage: targets / game at 2.3. Net: start Dohnte Meyers this week.

Working for Meyers: High-scoring spot (27.0 team total), Reliable (100% consistency).

Working against Meyers: Low target share (7% target share), Thin volume (2.3 targets/g).

Where Meyers leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.8 vs 7.7); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs D-); Implied team total (27.0 vs 20.5); Consistency (100% vs 0%); Bust rate (0% vs 56%).

Why Roman Wilson

Sit Roman Wilson — projects 7.7, a tough matchup vs CLE, with a rising role.

Roman Wilson projects 7.7 points on a 1.4–9.6 range. The matchup grades as tough against CLE. Usage: targets / game at 2.3. Net: bench Roman Wilson this week.

Working against Wilson: Low target share (8% target share), Thin volume (2.3 targets/g).

Where Wilson leads the head-to-head: Target share (8% vs 7%); Last 3 avg (9.5 vs 3.2); Last 5 avg (9.5 vs 3.2); vs season (+4.3 vs +0.0); Boom rate (22% vs 0%); Snap share (42% vs 30%); Red zone targets (1 vs 0).

Recent form

Dohnte Meyers's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 3.8, 5.9 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Roman Wilson's last 3 games: PPR points 5.6, 7.8, 15 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Meyers has already beaten Wilson's 7.7 projection in 0 of his 3; Wilson has beaten Meyers's 7.8 in 2 of his 3.

Matchup

Dohnte Meyers (CIN) faces JAX, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.0, spread -2.5.

Roman Wilson (PIT) played CLE (final: CLE 27 – 24 PIT). The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.5, spread -2.5.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.

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