Maye
QB · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points17.4pts
Smith
QB · NYJ vs LV
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.2pts
Lean
Bench
Drake Maye or Geno Smith: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Drake Maye over Geno Smith.
- Ahead by
- +2.2pts
- over Smith
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 95%
- of leagues
Flips if
If the weather in Drake Maye's game turns worse, start Geno Smith.
Risk
Weather in Drake Maye's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
MayeLeanQB · NE @ MIAUsually 19.8−2.4pts this week
Helps him
- 25.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.0 points.
- 35%big weeks35% of his games have been big weeks.
- 4games in a rowHe has thrown two or more touchdowns in 4 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.6pts2 linesPassing yards 233.5 (usual 254.9) and rushing yards 23.5 (usual 30.1) both sit below his usual.
- −1.4ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 1.86.
- 6th softestper passEdgeMIA allows few QB chances because teams throw little against them; per pass they’re soft (0.65 pts, 6th softest).
- 3.7%INT rateHe throws an interception on 3.7% of his passes.
SmithFirst outQB · NYJ vs LVUsually 15.0+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.11 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
- LVvs QBsEdgeLV is the 10th softest defense for quarterbacks.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 220.5 passing yards, below his usual 231.9.
- 28%pressureEdgeThe LV pass rush gets pressure on 28% of dropbacks.
- 10.7floorA quiet week could drop to about 10.7 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMaye: 17.4 (best)Smith: 15.2
Rush TD pointsof the projectionMaye: 1.6 (best)Smith: 0.7
Rush TDs expectedthis weekMaye: 0.26 (best)Smith: 0.11
Projected team pointsMaye: 25.0 (best)Smith: 23.5
Goal line carriesper gameMaye: 0.4 (best)Smith: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameMaye: 0.7 (best)Smith: 0.1
Pass attempts / gameMaye: 30.6 (best)Smith: 29.6
Role
Snap shareMaye: 97%Smith: 100% (best)
Touch shareMaye: 11% (best)Smith: 7%
Touches / gameMaye: 5.4 (best)Smith: 3.1
Yards per attemptMaye: 8.3 (best)Smith: 7.8
Pass TD rateMaye: 6% (best)Smith: 5%
Rush yards / gameMaye: 30.1 (best)Smith: 6.0
Points from rushingMaye: 24%Smith: 4%
Rushing points / gameMaye: 4.7 pts / game (best)Smith: 0.6 pts / game
Rushing floorMaye: 3.6 pts / game (best)Smith: 0.5 pts / game
Designed runs / gameMaye: 1.0 (best)Smith: 0.7
Scrambles / gameMaye: 3.3 (best)Smith: 1.4
Dropbacks / gameMaye: 35.7 (best)Smith: 34.3
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameMaye: 0.4 (best)Smith: 0.0
Sacks per dropbackMaye: 5% (best)Smith: 9%
INT rateMaye: 3.7%Smith: 1.0% (best)
Pass aDOTMaye: 9.0Smith: 6.7
High value touches / gameMaye: 0.6 (best)Smith: 0.0
Goal line carry shareMaye: 50% (best)Smith: 0%
Red zone touches / gameMaye: 0.7 (best)Smith: 0.1
Rush success rateMaye: 63% (best)Smith: 53%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Maye: 6.7% (best)Smith: 0%
Range
FloorMaye: 13.4 (best)Smith: 10.7
CeilingMaye: 25.0 (best)Smith: 22.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMaye: 9%Smith: 0%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Maye: 35% (best)Smith: 14%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterMaye: 27% (best)Smith: 57%
SteadinessMaye: Steady±10.4 ptsSmith: Very steady (best)±7.1 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionMaye: B2026, 6 gmSmith: B2026, 7 gm
Game scriptMaye: Expected to lead (best)Smith: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMaye: 0.8 (best)Smith: 1.7
Defense funnelMaye: NeutralSmith: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMaye: 18th (average)Smith: 22nd (soft) (best)
Opp sacks / gameMaye: 1.0 (best)Smith: 2.3
WeatherMaye: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rainSmith: No concern
Roof / surfaceMaye: OpengrassSmith: Openturf
Rest / scheduleMaye: 10 days restSmith: Normal
Opp paceMaye: 31st (slow)Smith: 9th (fast) (best)
Opp pressure rateMaye: 20% (best)18th (average)Smith: 28%6th (tough)
Pressure facedMaye: 24% (best)Smith: 31%
Opp rush yds allowedMaye: 16th (average)Smith: 30th (soft) (best)
Opp stuff rateMaye: 19%11th (average)Smith: 14% (best)30th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedMaye: 4.213th (average)Smith: 5.3 (best)31st (soft)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMaye: 2.52nd (tough)Smith: 5.1 (best)30th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedMaye: 81% (best)32nd (soft)Smith: 70%23rd (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgMaye: 30.2 (best)Smith: 15.1
Last 5 avgMaye: 24.1 (best)Smith: 16.0
vs seasonMaye: +10.5 (Rising) (best)Smith: +0.1 (Steady)
Yards per carryMaye: 5.6 (best)Smith: 1.9
Carries / gameMaye: 5.4 (best)Smith: 3.1
Pass volume trendMaye: SteadySmith: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesMaye: 96% (best)Smith: 38%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMaye: QB7 (best)Smith: QB18
Yards linepassingMaye: 233.5 (best)Smith: 220.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.