QBNYJ vs CHIQB2216.2 projected (9.2–17.8)PPR
Should I start Geno Smith in Week 4?
Sit Geno Smith in Week 4. Smith projects 16.2 PPR points to Bo Nix's 16.6.
Measured against the QB12 start line: Bo Nix, QB12 at 16.6 projected PPR points, the last quarterback inside it.
Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET
Why Geno Smith
Sit Geno Smith — projects 16.2, an even matchup vs CHI, with a rising role.
Geno Smith projects 16.2 points on a 9.2–17.8 range. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: pass attempts / game at 29.9. Net: Geno Smith is a bench this week.
Working against Smith: Shaky floor (9.2 floor).
Matchup
Geno Smith (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.
Recent form
Geno Smith's last 5 games: PPR points 14, 7.1, 9.3, 15.6, 26 (oldest to newest).
At least 1 of these 5 were played before the 2026 season — the card does not date them.
What flips it
Nix's edge is 0.4 points (16.6 to 16.2). Smith's ceiling (17.8) clears Nix's projection, so a big game from Smith flips it. Nix's floor (13.7) sits under Smith's projection, so a quiet game from Nix flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
Compare Geno Smith with…
The players closest to Geno Smithin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.