Thornton
WR · KC vs LV
Proj pts
6.7pts
market
TeSlaa
WR · DET vs CAR
Proj pts
6.3pts
market
Isaac TeSlaa or Tyquan Thornton: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Tyquan Thornton over Isaac TeSlaa by 0.4. Tyquan Thornton leads at 6.7. Isaac TeSlaa is the first one out, 0.3 short.
Highlights
Cons
- Low target share9% target share
- Thin volume3.1 targets/g
Pros
- High-scoring spot27.0 team total
- Big-play upside36% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share6% target share
- Thin volume1.9 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is consistency: Thornton 36%, TeSlaa 10%.
Why Tyquan Thornton
Start Tyquan Thornton — projects 6.7, an even matchup vs LV, with a rising role.
Tyquan Thornton projects 6.7 points on a 1.9–8.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LV. Usage: targets / game at 3.1. Net: start Tyquan Thornton this week.
Working against Thornton: Low target share (9% target share), Thin volume (3.1 targets/g).
Where Thornton leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.7 vs 6.3); Target share (9% vs 6%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B vs D); Last 3 avg (5.6 vs 4.7); Last 5 avg (5.6 vs 4.7); vs season (+0.8 vs -2.1); Consistency (36% vs 10%); Bust rate (22% vs 36%); Targets / game (3.1 vs 1.9).
Why Isaac TeSlaa
Sit Isaac TeSlaa — projects 6.3, a tough matchup vs CAR.
Isaac TeSlaa projects 6.3 points on a 2.6–14.9 range. The matchup grades as tough against CAR. Usage: targets / game at 1.9. Net: bench Isaac TeSlaa this week.
Working for TeSlaa: High-scoring spot (27.0 team total), Big-play upside (36% boom weeks).
Working against TeSlaa: Low target share (6% target share), Thin volume (1.9 targets/g).
Where TeSlaa leads the head-to-head: Floor (2.6 vs 1.9); Ceiling (14.9 vs 8.2); Implied team total (27.0 vs 26.0); Boom rate (36% vs 22%); Red zone targets (11 vs 4).
Recent form
Tyquan Thornton's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 4.2, 12.6 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Isaac TeSlaa's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 4.6, 9.6 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Thornton has already beaten TeSlaa's 6.3 projection in 1 of his 3; TeSlaa has beaten Thornton's 6.7 in 1 of his 3.
Matchup
Tyquan Thornton (KC) faces LV, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -4.5.
Isaac TeSlaa (DET) faces CAR, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 27.0, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Thornton's edge is 0.4 points (6.7 to 6.3). TeSlaa's ceiling (14.9) clears Thornton's projection, so a big game from TeSlaa flips it. Thornton's floor (1.9) sits under TeSlaa's projection, so a quiet game from Thornton flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
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