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Scoring
#1 Start

Williams

WR · NYJ vs CHI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

8.1pts

market

Mod Conf
Bench

Boutte

WR · HOU vs DAL

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7.5pts

market

Mod Conf

Isaiah Williams or Kayshon Boutte: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Isaiah Williams over Kayshon Boutte by 0.6. Isaiah Williams leads at 8.1. Kayshon Boutte is the first one out, 0.6 short.

Availability & news

  • Isaiah Williams

    Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.(rotowire, Sep 29, 2026)

Highlights

Isaiah WilliamsStart
WR · NYJ vs CHI

Pros

  • Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs WR
  • Big-play upside40% boom weeks

Cons

  • Low target share9% target share
  • Thin volume2.4 targets/g
Kayshon BoutteBench
WR · HOU vs DAL

Pros

  • Favorable matchupFavorable · A+ vs WR
  • Big-play upside36% boom weeks

Cons

  • Low target share12% target share
  • Thin volume3.3 targets/g

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

WilliamsStart
BoutteBench
Projection8.17.5
Floor2.73.6
Ceiling9.611.1
Target share9%12%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)A-A+
Implied team total20.025.8

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Williams 1, Boutte 5.

Williams: “Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.” — RotoWire, Sep 29, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Williams 3.1, Boutte 4.1 (PPR points).

Why Isaiah Williams

Start Isaiah Williams — projects 8.1, a favorable matchup vs CHI.

Isaiah Williams projects 8.1 points on a 2.7–9.6 range. The matchup grades as favorable against CHI. Usage: targets / game at 2.4. Net: start Isaiah Williams this week.

Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs WR), Big-play upside (40% boom weeks).

Working against Williams: Low target share (9% target share), Thin volume (2.4 targets/g).

Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.1 vs 7.5); Last 3 avg (5.2 vs 4.6); Last 5 avg (6.1 vs 4.4); vs season (+0.8 vs -1.5); Consistency (23% vs 21%); Boom rate (40% vs 36%); Bust rate (40% vs 43%).

Why Kayshon Boutte

Sit Kayshon Boutte — projects 7.5, a favorable matchup vs DAL, but the role is cooling.

Kayshon Boutte projects 7.5 points on a 3.6–11.1 range. The matchup grades as favorable against DAL. Usage: targets / game at 3.3. Net: bench Kayshon Boutte this week.

Working for Boutte: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A+ vs WR), Big-play upside (36% boom weeks).

Working against Boutte: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.3 targets/g).

Where Boutte leads the head-to-head: Floor (3.6 vs 2.7); Ceiling (11.1 vs 9.6); Target share (12% vs 9%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A+ vs A-); Implied team total (25.8 vs 20.0); Targets / game (3.3 vs 2.4); Snap share (68% vs 36%); Red zone targets (5 vs 1).

Recent form

Isaiah Williams's last 5 games: PPR points 7.5, 7.4, 1.7, 10.8, 3.1 (oldest to newest).

Kayshon Boutte's last 5 games: PPR points 3.6, 4.4, 3.1, 6.7, 4.1 (oldest to newest).

Williams has already beaten Boutte's 7.5 projection in 1 of his 5; Boutte has beaten Williams's 8.1 in 0 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Isaiah Williams (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.

Kayshon Boutte (HOU) faces DAL, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 25.8, spread -3.0.

What flips it

Williams's edge is 0.6 points (8.1 to 7.5). Boutte's ceiling (11.1) clears Williams's projection, so a big game from Boutte flips it. Williams's floor (2.7) sits under Boutte's projection, so a quiet game from Williams flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.

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