Bryant
WR · DEN vs SF
Proj pts
8.3pts
market
Williams
WR · NYJ vs CHI
Proj pts
8.1pts
market
Isaiah Williams or Pat Bryant: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Pat Bryant over Isaiah Williams by 0.2. Pat Bryant leads at 8.3. Isaiah Williams is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Availability & news
Isaiah Williams
Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.(rotowire, Sep 29, 2026)
Highlights
Cons
- Low target share11% target share
- Thin volume3.8 targets/g
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs WR
- Big-play upside40% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share9% target share
- Thin volume2.4 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Bryant 8, Williams 1.
Williams: “Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.” — RotoWire, Sep 29, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Williams 3.1 (PPR points).
Why Pat Bryant
Start Pat Bryant — projects 8.3, an even matchup vs SF.
Pat Bryant projects 8.3 points on a 7.2–13.1 range. The matchup grades as neutral against SF. Usage: targets / game at 3.8. Net: start Pat Bryant this week.
Working against Bryant: Low target share (11% target share), Thin volume (3.8 targets/g).
Where Bryant leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.3 vs 8.1); Floor (7.2 vs 2.7); Ceiling (13.1 vs 9.6); Target share (11% vs 9%); Implied team total (22.3 vs 20.0); Last 3 avg (8.1 vs 5.2); Last 5 avg (8.1 vs 6.1); Consistency (30% vs 23%); Bust rate (25% vs 40%); Targets / game (3.8 vs 2.4); Snap share (53% vs 36%); Red zone targets (8 vs 1).
Why Isaiah Williams
Sit Isaiah Williams — projects 8.1, a favorable matchup vs CHI.
Isaiah Williams projects 8.1 points on a 2.7–9.6 range. The matchup grades as favorable against CHI. Usage: targets / game at 2.4. Net: bench Isaiah Williams this week.
Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs WR), Big-play upside (40% boom weeks).
Working against Williams: Low target share (9% target share), Thin volume (2.4 targets/g).
Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A- vs B-); vs season (+0.8 vs -0.5); Boom rate (40% vs 25%).
Recent form
Pat Bryant's last 3 games: PPR points 1.6, 8.2, 14.4 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Isaiah Williams's last 5 games: PPR points 7.5, 7.4, 1.7, 10.8, 3.1 (oldest to newest).
Bryant has already beaten Williams's 8.1 projection in 2 of his 3; Williams has beaten Bryant's 8.3 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Pat Bryant (DEN) faces SF, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 22.3, spread +3.0.
Isaiah Williams (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.
What flips it
Bryant's edge is 0.2 points (8.3 to 8.1). Williams's ceiling (9.6) clears Bryant's projection, so a big game from Williams flips it. Bryant's floor (7.2) sits under Williams's projection, so a quiet game from Bryant flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)