Williams
WR · NYJ vs CHI
Proj pts
8.1pts
market
Wilson
WR · PIT vs CLE
Final pts
16.4pts
7.7 proj · +8.7
Isaiah Williams or Roman Wilson: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Isaiah Williams over Roman Wilson by 0.4. Isaiah Williams leads at 8.1. Roman Wilson is the first one out, 0.4 short.
Availability & news
Isaiah Williams
Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.(rotowire, Sep 29, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs WR
- Big-play upside40% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share9% target share
- Thin volume2.4 targets/g
Cons
- Low target share8% target share
- Thin volume2.3 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Williams 5.2, Wilson 9.5.
Williams: “Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.” — RotoWire, Sep 29, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Williams 3.1 (PPR points).
Why Isaiah Williams
Start Isaiah Williams — projects 8.1, a favorable matchup vs CHI.
Isaiah Williams projects 8.1 points on a 2.7–9.6 range. The matchup grades as favorable against CHI. Usage: targets / game at 2.4. Net: start Isaiah Williams this week.
Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs WR), Big-play upside (40% boom weeks).
Working against Williams: Low target share (9% target share), Thin volume (2.4 targets/g).
Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.1 vs 7.7); Floor (2.7 vs 1.4); Target share (9% vs 8%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A- vs D-); Consistency (23% vs 0%); Boom rate (40% vs 22%); Bust rate (40% vs 56%); Targets / game (2.4 vs 2.3).
Why Roman Wilson
Sit Roman Wilson — projects 7.7, a tough matchup vs CLE, with a rising role.
Roman Wilson projects 7.7 points on a 1.4–9.6 range. The matchup grades as tough against CLE. Usage: targets / game at 2.3. Net: bench Roman Wilson this week.
Working against Wilson: Low target share (8% target share), Thin volume (2.3 targets/g).
Where Wilson leads the head-to-head: Implied team total (20.5 vs 20.0); Last 3 avg (9.5 vs 5.2); Last 5 avg (9.5 vs 6.1); vs season (+4.3 vs +0.8); Snap share (42% vs 36%).
Recent form
Isaiah Williams's last 5 games: PPR points 7.5, 7.4, 1.7, 10.8, 3.1 (oldest to newest).
Roman Wilson's last 3 games: PPR points 5.6, 7.8, 15 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Williams has already beaten Wilson's 7.7 projection in 1 of his 5; Wilson has beaten Williams's 8.1 in 1 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Isaiah Williams (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.
Roman Wilson (PIT) played CLE (final: CLE 27 – 24 PIT). The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.5, spread -2.5.
What flips it
Williams's edge is 0.4 points (8.1 to 7.7). Wilson's ceiling (9.6) clears Williams's projection, so a big game from Wilson flips it. Williams's floor (2.7) sits under Wilson's projection, so a quiet game from Williams flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)