Dowdle
RB · PIT vs CLE
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points8.3pts
Dobbins
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points6.4pts
Lean
Bench
J.K. Dobbins or Rico Dowdle: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Rico Dowdle over J.K. Dobbins.
- Ahead by
- +1.9pts
- over Dobbins
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
Flips if
Start J.K. Dobbins instead if you want more of the goal line work (62% of the carries inside the 5 to 0%).
Risk
Rico Dowdle has played 2 games since missing time.
Highlights
DowdleLeanRB · PIT vs CLEProjected8.3pts
Helps him
- −3.5spreadEdgeHis team is expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.
Hurts him
- 23%touchesHe handles only 23% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- CLEvs RBsEdgeCLE is the 6th toughest defense for running backs.
DobbinsFirst outRB · DEN vs KCUsually 8.3−1.9pts this week
Helps him
- 1.1inside the 5He averages 1.1 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
- +4.1last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.1 points above his season average.
- 3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 22.5 rushing yards, below his usual 41.9.
- −0.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.35 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
- 41%snapsHe plays only 41% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDowdle: 8.3 (best)Dobbins: 6.4
TD pointsof the projectionDowdle: 1.7Dobbins: 2.1 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekDowdle: 0.29Dobbins: 0.35 (best)
Projected team pointsDowdle: 21.5 (best)Dobbins: 19.8
Goal line carriesper gameDowdle: 0.0Dobbins: 1.1 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameDowdle: 1.3Dobbins: 1.9 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameDowdle: 0.3 (best)Dobbins: 0.0
Role
Snap shareDowdle: 39%Dobbins: 41% (best)
Usage worthptsDowdle: 10.1Dobbins: 10.3 (best)
Touch shareDowdle: 23%Dobbins: 31% (best)
Target shareDowdle: 12% (best)Dobbins: 5%
Touches / gameDowdle: 11.0Dobbins: 13.6 (best)
Targets / gameDowdle: 4.3 (best)Dobbins: 1.3
Vacated touches this weekDowdle: 0.0Dobbins: 2.6 (best)
High value touches / gameDowdle: 3.5 (best)Dobbins: 2.6
Goal line carry shareDowdle: 0%Dobbins: 62% (best)
Red zone touches / gameDowdle: 1.5Dobbins: 1.9 (best)
Rush success rateDowdle: 26%Dobbins: 30% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Dowdle: 0%Dobbins: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredScored 8.3Dowdle: Earned by usage 10.1Dobbins: Earned by usage 10.3
Rush yards / gameDowdle: 29.5Dobbins: 41.9 (best)
Points from rushingDowdle: 36%Dobbins: 82%
WOPRDowdle: 0.18 (best)Dobbins: 0.06
RZ target shareDowdle: 7% (best)Dobbins: 0%
Inside 10 target shareDowdle: 11% (best)Dobbins: 0%
Catch rateDowdle: 76%Dobbins: 89% (best)
Rushing points / gameDowdle: 3.0 pts / gameDobbins: 6.8 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorDowdle: 3.0 pts / gameDobbins: 5.6 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorDowdle: 5.4 (best)Dobbins: 3.8
CeilingDowdle: 12.5 (best)Dobbins: 10.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDowdle: 0%Dobbins: 31%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Dowdle: 0%Dobbins: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterDowdle: 75%Dobbins: 67% (best)
SteadinessDowdle: Steady (best)±4.5 pts · 4 gamesDobbins: Steady±5.1 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDowdle: D+2026, 7 gmDobbins: D+2026, 6 gm
Game scriptDowdle: Expected to lead (best)Dobbins: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDowdle: 1.3 (best)Dobbins: 1.7
Defense funnelDowdle: NeutralDobbins: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedDowdle: 20th (average) (best)Dobbins: 13th (average)
Backfield roleDowdle: BackupDobbins: Committee
Opp defender outDowdle: Davis (DT)Dobbins: Norman-Lott (DT)
Roof / surfacegrassDowdle: OpenDobbins: Open
Rest / scheduleDowdle: NormalDobbins: Normal
Opp paceDowdle: 22nd (slow) (best)Dobbins: 24th (slow)
Opp stuff rateDowdle: 23%2nd (tough)Dobbins: 21% (best)9th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedDowdle: 4.6 (best)28th (soft)Dobbins: 3.42nd (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedDowdle: 8th (tough)Dobbins: 12th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Dowdle: 0.0Dobbins: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedDowdle: 77%14th (average)Dobbins: 79% (best)17th (average)
Starting QBDowdle: Rodgers (Active)Dobbins: Nix (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgDowdle: 9.6Dobbins: 12.4 (best)
Last 5 avgDowdle: 8.3Dobbins: 10.2 (best)
vs seasonDowdle: +1.4Dobbins: +4.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryDowdle: 3.8 (best)Dobbins: 3.4
Carries / gameDowdle: 7.8Dobbins: 12.4 (best)
Yards per route runDowdle: 1.64 (best)Dobbins: 0.87
Receiving aDOTDowdle: −0.6Dobbins: −1.1
Touch share trendDowdle: Left 2 games hurtDobbins: Steady
Games since injuryDowdle: 2Dobbins: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesDowdle: Not widely startedDobbins: 38%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDowdle: RB29 (best)Dobbins: RB36
Yards linerushingDowdle: 27.5 (best)Dobbins: 22.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.