Dotson
WR · ATL vs NO
Proj pts
6.3pts
market
Coleman
WR · BUF vs NE
Proj pts
6pts
market
Jahan Dotson or Keon Coleman: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Jahan Dotson over Keon Coleman by 0.3. Jahan Dotson leads at 6.3. Keon Coleman is the first one out, 0.3 short.
Availability & news
Keon ColemanPractice: DNP
Coleman (ankle) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Cons
- Low target share8% target share
- Thin volume2.4 targets/g
Pros
- High-scoring spot27.8 team total
Cons
- Thin volume4.9 targets/g
- Rotational snaps66% of snaps
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Dotson 5, Coleman 14.
Coleman (Practice: DNP): “Coleman (ankle) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Coleman 4.7 (PPR points).
Why Jahan Dotson
Start Jahan Dotson — projects 6.3, an even matchup vs NO.
Jahan Dotson projects 6.3 points on a 2.1–8.0 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NO. Usage: targets / game at 2.4. Net: start Jahan Dotson this week.
Working against Dotson: Low target share (8% target share), Thin volume (2.4 targets/g).
Where Dotson leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.3 vs 6.0); Boom rate (27% vs 17%).
Why Keon Coleman
Sit Keon Coleman — projects 6.0, an even matchup vs NE, but the role is cooling.
Keon Coleman projects 6.0 points on a 4.1–11.6 range. The matchup grades as neutral against NE. Usage: targets / game at 4.9. Net: bench Keon Coleman this week.
Working for Coleman: High-scoring spot (27.8 team total).
Working against Coleman: Thin volume (4.9 targets/g), Rotational snaps (66% of snaps).
Where Coleman leads the head-to-head: Floor (4.1 vs 2.1); Ceiling (11.6 vs 8.0); Target share (17% vs 8%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C vs C-); Implied team total (27.8 vs 22.5); Last 3 avg (6.0 vs 2.7); Last 5 avg (6.8 vs 2.7); Consistency (33% vs 0%); Bust rate (25% vs 40%); Targets / game (4.9 vs 2.4); Snap share (66% vs 58%); Red zone targets (14 vs 5).
Recent form
Jahan Dotson's last 3 games: PPR points 2.1, 2.9, 3.1 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Keon Coleman's last 4 games: PPR points 8.9, 1.1, 12.3, 4.7 (oldest to newest).
Dotson has already beaten Coleman's 6 projection in 0 of his 3; Coleman has beaten Dotson's 6.3 in 2 of his 4.
Matchup
Jahan Dotson (ATL) faces NO, kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +2.5.
Keon Coleman (BUF) faces NE, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.8, spread -7.0.
What flips it
Dotson's edge is 0.3 points (6.3 to 6). Coleman's ceiling (11.6) clears Dotson's projection, so a big game from Coleman flips it. Dotson's floor (2.1) sits under Coleman's projection, so a quiet game from Dotson flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)