Scoring
#1 Start

Moore

WR · GB vs TB

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7.1pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Nailor

WR · LV vs KC

Sun 4:25 PM

Proj pts

6.6pts

market

Lower Conf

Jalen Nailor or Skyy Moore: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Skyy Moore over Jalen Nailor by 0.5. Skyy Moore leads at 7.1. Jalen Nailor is the first one out, 0.5 short.

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Availability & news

  • Skyy Moore

    Coach Matt LaFleur said Wednesday that Moore will be the next man up at wide receiver after it was announced Jayden Reed (neck) will undergo season-ending surgery, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.(rotowire, Sep 30, 2026)

Highlights

Skyy MooreStart
WR · GB vs TB

Pros

  • Reliable100% consistency

Cons

  • Low target share1% target share
  • Thin volume0.4 targets/g
Jalen NailorBench
WR · LV vs KC

Cons

  • Low target share12% target share
  • Thin volume3.1 targets/g

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

MooreStart
NailorBench
Projection7.16.6
Floor0.01.6
Ceiling10.27.6
Target share1%12%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)B-C-
Implied team total21.021.5

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is consistency: Moore 100%, Nailor 5%.

Moore: “Coach Matt LaFleur said Wednesday that Moore will be the next man up at wide receiver after it was announced Jayden Reed (neck) will undergo season-ending surgery, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.” — RotoWire, Sep 30, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Moore 6.1, Nailor 2.6 (PPR points).

Why Skyy Moore

Start Skyy Moore — projects 7.1, an even matchup vs TB, with a rising role.

Skyy Moore projects 7.1 points on a 0.0–10.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against TB. Usage: targets / game at 0.4. Net: start Skyy Moore this week.

Working for Moore: Reliable (100% consistency).

Working against Moore: Low target share (1% target share), Thin volume (0.4 targets/g).

Where Moore leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.1 vs 6.6); Ceiling (10.2 vs 7.6); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs C-); vs season (+0.6 vs -1.6); Consistency (100% vs 5%); Bust rate (0% vs 29%).

Why Jalen Nailor

Sit Jalen Nailor — projects 6.6, an even matchup vs KC.

Jalen Nailor projects 6.6 points on a 1.6–7.6 range. The matchup grades as neutral against KC. Usage: targets / game at 3.1. Net: bench Jalen Nailor this week.

Working against Nailor: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.1 targets/g).

Where Nailor leads the head-to-head: Floor (1.6 vs 0.0); Target share (12% vs 1%); Implied team total (21.5 vs 21.0); Last 3 avg (3.4 vs 2.9); Last 5 avg (3.6 vs 1.9); Boom rate (12% vs 0%); Targets / game (3.1 vs 0.4); Snap share (65% vs 10%); Red zone targets (13 vs 0).

Recent form

Skyy Moore's last 5 games: PPR points 1, 0, 0, 2.6, 6.1 (oldest to newest).

Jalen Nailor's last 5 games: PPR points 0, 7.9, 5.7, 1.9, 2.6 (oldest to newest).

Moore has already beaten Nailor's 6.6 projection in 0 of his 5; Nailor has beaten Moore's 7.1 in 1 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Skyy Moore (GB) faces TB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread -3.5.

Jalen Nailor (LV) faces KC, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.5, spread +4.5.

What flips it

Moore's edge is 0.5 points (7.1 to 6.6). Nailor's ceiling (7.6) clears Moore's projection, so a big game from Nailor flips it. Moore's floor (0) sits under Nailor's projection, so a quiet game from Moore flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.