Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA vs CHI
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points21.9pts
Jefferson
WR · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Start
Bench
Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Justin Jefferson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Justin Jefferson.
- Ahead by
- +6.1pts
- over Jefferson
- Confidence
- High
- Easy call
- Started
- 99%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Jaxon Smith-Njigba or a bigger role for Justin Jefferson.
Risk
Justin Jefferson has played 2 games since missing time.
Highlights
Smith-NjigbaStartWR · SEA vs CHIUsually 28.0−6.2pts this week
Helps him
- 11.1per gameHe sees 11.1 targets a game.
- 16.2floorA quiet week still projects to about 16.2 points.
- 75%big weeks75% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −2.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.71 touchdowns, below his usual 1.14.
- −2.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 99.0 receiving yards, below his usual 123.9.
- −0.8ptscatchesHis lines put him at 7.5 catches, below his usual 8.3.
- 5th softestper targetEdgeCHI allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (1.99 pts, 5th softest).
JeffersonFirst outWR · MIN @ DETUsually 16.7−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 76.5 receiving yards, above his usual 67.5.
- DETvs WRsEdgeDET is the 2nd softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.43 touchdowns, below his usual 0.75.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSmith-Njigba: 21.9 (best)Jefferson: 15.8
TD pointsof the projectionSmith-Njigba: 4.3 (best)Jefferson: 2.6
Expected TDsthis weekSmith-Njigba: 0.71 (best)Jefferson: 0.43
Projected team pointsSmith-Njigba: 24.8 (best)Jefferson: 21.3
Red zone targetsper gameSmith-Njigba: 1.7 (best)Jefferson: 1.2
Role
Snap shareSmith-Njigba: 84% (best)Jefferson: 77%
Usage worthptsSmith-Njigba: 20.0 (best)Jefferson: 11.2
Target shareSmith-Njigba: 37% (best)Jefferson: 26%
Targets / gameSmith-Njigba: 11.1 (best)Jefferson: 6.2
Air yards shareSmith-Njigba: 51% (best)Jefferson: 35%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSmith-Njigba: AboveJefferson: Above
WOPRSmith-Njigba: 0.92 (best)Jefferson: 0.66
RZ target shareSmith-Njigba: 41% (best)Jefferson: 31%
Catch rateSmith-Njigba: 74%Jefferson: 74%
SeparationSmith-Njigba: 2.6 ydsJefferson: 2.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedSmith-Njigba: +0.5Jefferson: +1.0 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredSmith-Njigba: Earned by usage 20.0Scored 28.0Jefferson: Earned by usage 11.2Scored 14.4
Vacated targets this weekSmith-Njigba: 1.0Jefferson: 1.7 (best)
Inside 10 target shareSmith-Njigba: 46% (best)Jefferson: 25%
Range
FloorSmith-Njigba: 16.2 (best)Jefferson: 8.5
CeilingSmith-Njigba: 32.8 (best)Jefferson: 25.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSmith-Njigba: 25%Jefferson: 25%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Smith-Njigba: 75% (best)Jefferson: 25%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSmith-Njigba: 4%Jefferson: 0% (best)
SteadinessSmith-Njigba: Very steady (best)±9.9 ptsJefferson: Steady±10.8 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionSmith-Njigba: C+2026, 7 gmJefferson: A+ (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptSmith-Njigba: Expected to lead (best)Jefferson: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSmith-Njigba: 1.4Jefferson: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelSmith-Njigba: NeutralJefferson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSmith-Njigba: 20th (average)Jefferson: 32nd (soft) (best)
Starting QBSmith-Njigba: Darnold (Active)Jefferson: Murray (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfSmith-Njigba: OpenJefferson: Dome
Rest / scheduleSmith-Njigba: NormalJefferson: Normal
Opp paceSmith-Njigba: 1st (fast) (best)Jefferson: 4th (fast)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSmith-Njigba: 3.319th (average)Jefferson: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedSmith-Njigba: 60%11th (average)Jefferson: 66% (best)27th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgSmith-Njigba: 26.5 (best)Jefferson: 10.8
Last 5 avgSmith-Njigba: 25.5 (best)Jefferson: 14.4
vs seasonSmith-Njigba: −1.5 (Steady) (best)Jefferson: −3.6 (Cooling)
Yards per route runSmith-Njigba: 4.21 (best)Jefferson: 2.90
Receiving aDOTSmith-Njigba: 10.4Jefferson: 10.9
Target share trendSmith-Njigba: RisingJefferson: Left Week 3 hurt
Games since injurySmith-Njigba: None recentlyJefferson: 2
Crowd
Started in leaguesSmith-Njigba: 100% (best)Jefferson: 97%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSmith-Njigba: WR1 (best)Jefferson: WR9
Yards linereceivingSmith-Njigba: 99.0 (best)Jefferson: 76.5
Deciding on someone else?
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