Scoring
#1 Start

Moore

WR · GB vs TB

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7.1pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Reed

WR · GB vs TB

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7pts

opportunity

Lower Conf

Jayden Reed or Skyy Moore: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Skyy Moore over Jayden Reed by 0.1. Skyy Moore leads at 7.1. Jayden Reed is the first one out, 0.1 short.

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Availability & news

  • Skyy Moore

    Coach Matt LaFleur said Wednesday that Moore will be the next man up at wide receiver after it was announced Jayden Reed (neck) will undergo season-ending surgery, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.(rotowire, Sep 30, 2026)

  • Jayden ReedIr

    The Packers officially placed Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday.(rotowire, Sep 30, 2026)

Highlights

Skyy MooreStart
WR · GB vs TB

Pros

  • Reliable100% consistency

Cons

  • Low target share1% target share
  • Thin volume0.4 targets/g
Jayden ReedBench
WR · GB vs TB

Pros

  • Reliable77% consistency

Cons

  • Thin volume4.4 targets/g
  • Rotational snaps53% of snaps

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

MooreStart
ReedBench
Projection7.17.0
Floor0.06.7
Ceiling10.210.8
Target share1%17%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)B-B-
Implied team total21.021.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is target share: Moore 1%, Reed 17%.

Moore: “Coach Matt LaFleur said Wednesday that Moore will be the next man up at wide receiver after it was announced Jayden Reed (neck) will undergo season-ending surgery, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.” — RotoWire, Sep 30, 2026.

Reed (Ir): “The Packers officially placed Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday.” — RotoWire, Sep 30, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Moore 6.1 (PPR points).

Why Skyy Moore

Start Skyy Moore — projects 7.1, an even matchup vs TB, with a rising role.

Skyy Moore projects 7.1 points on a 0.0–10.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against TB. Usage: targets / game at 0.4. Net: start Skyy Moore this week.

Working for Moore: Reliable (100% consistency).

Working against Moore: Low target share (1% target share), Thin volume (0.4 targets/g).

Where Moore leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.1 vs 7.0); vs season (+0.6 vs -2.7); Consistency (100% vs 77%).

Why Jayden Reed

Sit Jayden Reed — projects 7.0, an even matchup vs TB, but the role is cooling.

Jayden Reed projects 7.0 points on a 6.7–10.8 range. The matchup grades as neutral against TB. Usage: targets / game at 4.4. Net: bench Jayden Reed this week.

Working for Reed: Reliable (77% consistency).

Working against Reed: Thin volume (4.4 targets/g), Rotational snaps (53% of snaps).

Where Reed leads the head-to-head: Floor (6.7 vs 0.0); Ceiling (10.8 vs 10.2); Target share (17% vs 1%); Last 3 avg (3.2 vs 2.9); Last 5 avg (4.8 vs 1.9); Targets / game (4.4 vs 0.4); Snap share (53% vs 10%); Red zone targets (6 vs 0).

Recent form

Skyy Moore's last 5 games: PPR points 1, 0, 0, 2.6, 6.1 (oldest to newest).

Jayden Reed's last 3 games: PPR points 1.4, 5, 8.1 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Moore has already beaten Reed's 7 projection in 0 of his 5; Reed has beaten Moore's 7.1 in 1 of his 3.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Skyy Moore (GB) faces TB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread -3.5.

Jayden Reed (GB) faces TB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread -3.5.

What flips it

Moore's edge is 0.1 points (7.1 to 7). Reed's ceiling (10.8) clears Moore's projection, so a big game from Reed flips it. Moore's floor (0) sits under Reed's projection, so a quiet game from Moore flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.