QBCIN vs JAXQB817.6 projected (15.6–23.1)PPR
Should I start Joe Burrow in Week 4?
Start Joe Burrow in Week 4. Burrow projects 17.6 PPR points to Jalen Hurts's 16.6.
Measured against the QB12 start line: Jalen Hurts, QB13 at 16.6 projected PPR points, the first quarterback below it.
Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET
Why Joe Burrow
Start Joe Burrow — projects 17.6, an even matchup vs JAX.
Joe Burrow projects 17.6 points on a 15.6–23.1 range. The matchup grades as neutral against JAX. Usage: pass attempts / game at 32.4. Net: Joe Burrow is start this week.
Working for Burrow: High-scoring spot (27.0 team total).
Matchup
Joe Burrow (CIN) faces JAX, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 27.0, spread -2.5.
Recent form
Joe Burrow's last 5 games: PPR points 20.4, 21.1, 14.2, 16.2, 22.6 (oldest to newest).
At least 1 of these 5 were played before the 2026 season — the card does not date them.
What flips it
Burrow's edge is 1 points (17.6 to 16.6). Hurts's ceiling (24.1) clears Burrow's projection, so a big game from Hurts flips it. Burrow's floor (15.6) sits under Hurts's projection, so a quiet game from Burrow flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
Compare Joe Burrow with…
The players closest to Joe Burrowin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.