Burrow
QB · CIN vs TEN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points21.3pts
Mahomes
QB · KC @ DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Start
Bench
Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Joe Burrow over Patrick Mahomes.
- Ahead by
- +5.5pts
- over Mahomes
- Confidence
- High
- Start
- Started
- 95%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Joe Burrow or a bigger role for Patrick Mahomes.
Highlights
BurrowStartQB · CIN vs TENUsually 21.7−0.4pts this week
Helps him
- 39.3dropbacksHe drops back 39.3 times a game.
- 29.5team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 29.5 points, a high scoring spot.
- 16.9floorA quiet week still projects to about 16.9 points.
Hurts him
- Nothing in his lines, role or matchup works against him this week.
MahomesFirst outQB · KC @ DENUsually 16.7−0.8pts this week
Helps him
- OutEllissEdgeHe faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.
Hurts him
- −0.9ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 223.5 passing yards, below his usual 245.7.
- 4th toughestper passEdgeDEN allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.40 pts, 4th toughest).
- 23%pressureEdgeThe DEN pass rush gets pressure on 23% of dropbacks.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBurrow: 21.3 (best)Mahomes: 15.8
Rush TD pointsof the projectionBurrow: 1.0 (best)Mahomes: 0.9
Rush TDs expectedthis weekBurrow: 0.17 (best)Mahomes: 0.15
Projected team pointsBurrow: 29.5 (best)Mahomes: 20.8
Goal line carriesper gameBurrow: 0.2 (best)Mahomes: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameBurrow: 1.0 (best)Mahomes: 0.3
Pass attempts / gameBurrow: 36.5 (best)Mahomes: 31.8
Role
Snap shareBurrow: 99%Mahomes: 100% (best)
Touch shareBurrow: 6%Mahomes: 7% (best)
Touches / gameBurrow: 2.8Mahomes: 3.2 (best)
Yards per attemptBurrow: 7.5Mahomes: 7.7 (best)
Pass TD rateBurrow: 7% (best)Mahomes: 5%
Rush yards / gameBurrow: 10.0Mahomes: 11.8 (best)
Points from rushingBurrow: 9%Mahomes: 13%
Rushing points / gameBurrow: 2.0 pts / gameMahomes: 2.2 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorBurrow: 1.8 pts / game (best)Mahomes: 1.7 pts / game
Designed runs / gameBurrow: 1.0 (best)Mahomes: 0.2
Scrambles / gameBurrow: 1.2Mahomes: 2.0 (best)
Dropbacks / gameBurrow: 39.3 (best)Mahomes: 35.2
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameBurrow: 0.2 (best)Mahomes: 0.0
Sacks per dropbackBurrow: 4%Mahomes: 3% (best)
INT rateBurrow: 1.4% (best)Mahomes: 2.1%
Pass aDOTBurrow: 7.2Mahomes: 6.0
High value touches / gameBurrow: 0.2Mahomes: 0.2
Goal line carry shareBurrow: 17% (best)Mahomes: 0%
Red zone touches / gameBurrow: 1.0 (best)Mahomes: 0.3
Rush success rateBurrow: 85% (best)Mahomes: 54%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Burrow: 0%Mahomes: 0%
Range
FloorBurrow: 16.9 (best)Mahomes: 11.6
CeilingBurrow: 28.9 (best)Mahomes: 23.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBurrow: 5%Mahomes: 6%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Burrow: 15%Mahomes: 26% (best)
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterBurrow: 15% (best)Mahomes: 28%
SteadinessBurrow: Very steady (best)±7.1 ptsMahomes: Very steady±8.4 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmBurrow: C+ (best)Mahomes: C-
Game scriptBurrow: Expected to lead (best)Mahomes: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBurrow: 1.0 (best)Mahomes: 1.4
Defense funnelBurrow: NeutralMahomes: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBurrow: 23rd (soft) (best)Mahomes: 17th (average)
Opp sacks / gameBurrow: 2.4 (best)Mahomes: 3.0
Opp defender outBurrow: None listedMahomes: Elliss (LB)
Roof / surfaceBurrow: OpenturfMahomes: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleBurrow: NormalMahomes: Normal
Opp paceBurrow: 32nd (slow)Mahomes: 30th (slow) (best)
Opp pressure rateBurrow: 18% (best)26th (soft)Mahomes: 23%8th (tough)
Pressure facedBurrow: 18% (best)Mahomes: 24%
Opp rush yds allowedBurrow: 26th (soft)Mahomes: 28th (soft) (best)
Opp stuff rateBurrow: 17% (best)15th (average)Mahomes: 18%14th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedBurrow: 4.421st (average)Mahomes: 4.7 (best)24th (soft)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBurrow: 4.0 (best)20th (average)Mahomes: 3.715th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedBurrow: 73% (best)31st (soft)Mahomes: 62%3rd (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgBurrow: 25.7 (best)Mahomes: 11.2
Last 5 avgBurrow: 23.2 (best)Mahomes: 15.7
vs seasonBurrow: +4.0 (Rising) (best)Mahomes: −5.5 (Cooling)
Yards per carryBurrow: 3.5Mahomes: 3.7 (best)
Carries / gameBurrow: 2.8Mahomes: 3.2 (best)
Pass volume trendBurrow: CoolingMahomes: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesBurrow: 95% (best)Mahomes: 59%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBurrow: QB3 (best)Mahomes: QB15
Yards linepassingBurrow: 270.5 (best)Mahomes: 223.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.