New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
Pass TD
New comparison
Start

Burrow

QB · CIN vs TEN

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points21.3pts

First out

Stafford

QB · LA vs LAC

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points14.8pts

Start

Bench

Joe Burrow or Matthew Stafford: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Start Joe Burrow over Matthew Stafford.

Ahead by
+6.5pts
over Stafford
Confidence
High
Easy call
Started
95%
of leagues

Flips if

An injury tag on Joe Burrow or a bigger role for Matthew Stafford.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
BurrowStartQB · CIN vs TENUsually 21.7−0.4pts this week

Helps him

  1. 29.5team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 29.5 points, a high scoring spot.
  2. 16.9floorA quiet week still projects to about 16.9 points.
  3. +4.0last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.0 points above his season average.

Hurts him

  1. Nothing in his lines, role or matchup works against him this week.
StaffordFirst outQB · LA vs LACUsually 17.6−2.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. 30%big weeks30% of his games have been big weeks.
  2. 3games in a rowHe has thrown two or more touchdowns in 3 straight games.

Hurts him

  1. −2.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 2.00.
  2. −1.3ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 250.5 passing yards, below his usual 284.1.
  3. LACvs QBsEdgeLAC is the 3rd toughest defense for quarterbacks.
  4. 11.3floorA quiet week could drop to about 11.3 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBurrow: 21.3 (best)Stafford: 14.8
Rush TD pointsof the projectionBurrow: 1.0 (best)Stafford: 0.3
Rush TDs expectedthis weekBurrow: 0.17 (best)Stafford: 0.05
Projected team pointsBurrow: 29.5 (best)Stafford: 25.8
Goal line carriesper gameBurrow: 0.2 (best)Stafford: 0.1
Red zone carriesper gameBurrow: 1.0 (best)Stafford: 0.4
Pass attempts / gameBurrow: 36.5Stafford: 39.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareBurrow: 99% (best)Stafford: 98%
Touch shareBurrow: 6% (best)Stafford: 4%
Touches / gameBurrow: 2.8 (best)Stafford: 2.0
Yards per attemptBurrow: 7.5 (best)Stafford: 7.2
Pass TD rateBurrow: 7% (best)Stafford: 5%
Rush yards / gameBurrow: 10.0 (best)Stafford: 2.6
Points from rushingBurrow: 9%Stafford: 1%
Rushing points / gameBurrow: 2.0 pts / game (best)Stafford: 0.3 pts / game
Rushing floorBurrow: 1.8 pts / game (best)Stafford: 0.3 pts / game
Designed runs / gameBurrow: 1.0 (best)Stafford: 0.3
Scrambles / gameBurrow: 1.2 (best)Stafford: 0.6
Dropbacks / gameBurrow: 39.3Stafford: 41.7 (best)
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameBurrow: 0.2 (best)Stafford: 0.1
Sacks per dropbackBurrow: 4%Stafford: 4%
INT rateBurrow: 1.4% (best)Stafford: 2.5%
Pass aDOTBurrow: 7.2Stafford: 7.9
High value touches / gameBurrow: 0.2 (best)Stafford: 0.1
Goal line carry shareBurrow: 17% (best)Stafford: 9%
Red zone touches / gameBurrow: 1.0 (best)Stafford: 0.4
Rush success rateBurrow: 85% (best)Stafford: 50%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Burrow: 0%Stafford: 0%
Range
FloorBurrow: 16.9 (best)Stafford: 11.3
CeilingBurrow: 28.9 (best)Stafford: 20.7
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBurrow: 5%Stafford: 0%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Burrow: 15%Stafford: 30% (best)
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterBurrow: 15% (best)Stafford: 22%
SteadinessBurrow: Very steady (best)±7.1 ptsStafford: Very steady±7.9 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBurrow: C+ (best)2026, 7 gmStafford: D2026, 6 gm
Game scriptBurrow: Expected to lead (best)Stafford: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBurrow: 1.0 (best)Stafford: 1.7
Defense funnelBurrow: NeutralStafford: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBurrow: 23rd (soft) (best)Stafford: 7th (tough)
Opp sacks / gameBurrow: 2.4Stafford: 1.8 (best)
Roof / surfaceturfBurrow: OpenStafford: Dome
Rest / scheduleBurrow: NormalStafford: Normal
Opp paceBurrow: 32nd (slow)Stafford: 15th (average) (best)
Opp pressure rateBurrow: 18% (best)26th (soft)Stafford: 23%11th (average)
Pressure facedBurrow: 18%Stafford: 15% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedBurrow: 26th (soft) (best)Stafford: 21st (average)
Opp stuff rateBurrow: 17%15th (average)Stafford: 14% (best)25th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedBurrow: 4.4 (best)21st (average)Stafford: 4.317th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBurrow: 4.0 (best)20th (average)Stafford: 2.52nd (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBurrow: 73% (best)31st (soft)Stafford: 70%26th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgBurrow: 25.7 (best)Stafford: 20.6
Last 5 avgBurrow: 23.2 (best)Stafford: 18.5
vs seasonBurrow: +4.0 (Rising) (best)Stafford: +2.9 (Rising)
Yards per carryBurrow: 3.5 (best)Stafford: 1.3
Carries / gameBurrow: 2.8 (best)Stafford: 2.0
Pass volume trendBurrow: CoolingStafford: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesBurrow: 95% (best)Stafford: 78%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBurrow: QB3 (best)Stafford: QB21
Yards linepassingBurrow: 270.5 (best)Stafford: 250.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

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