Addison
WR · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points9.2pts
Lemon
WR · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points8.9ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Jordan Addison or Makai Lemon: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Jordan Addison gets the nod over Makai Lemon.
- Ahead by
- +0.3pts
- over Lemon
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 46%
- of leagues
Lemon's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Lemon
The case for Lemon is surer hands (69% of his targets caught to 52%).
Flips if
Start Makai Lemon instead if you want surer hands (69% of his targets caught to 52%).
Risk
Jordan Addison has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.
Highlights
AddisonToss-upWR · MIN @ DETUsually 7.5+1.7pts this week
Helps him
- +0.9ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, above his usual 2.6.
- 90%snapsHe is on the field for 90% of snaps.
Hurts him
- 5.1floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.1 points.
LemonFirst outWR · PHI @ WASUsually 7.1+1.7pts this week
Helps him
- +2.2ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- +4.2last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.2 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
- 5.2floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.2 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionAddison: 9.2 (best)Lemon: 8.9
TD pointsof the projectionAddison: 1.6Lemon: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekAddison: 0.27Lemon: Our estimate
Projected team pointsAddison: 21.3 (best)Lemon: 17.0
Red zone targetsper gameAddison: 0.2 (best)Lemon: 0.1
Role
Snap shareAddison: 90% (best)Lemon: 75%
Usage worthptsAddison: 8.7 (best)Lemon: 7.8
Target shareAddison: 20% (best)Lemon: 17%
Targets / gameAddison: 5.0Lemon: 5.1 (best)
Air yards shareAddison: 35% (best)Lemon: 11%
WOPRAddison: 0.52 (best)Lemon: 0.34
RZ target shareAddison: 7% (best)Lemon: 6%
Catch rateAddison: 52%Lemon: 69% (best)
SeparationAddison: 2.9 yds (best)Lemon: 2.7 yds
YAC over expectedAddison: +1.7 (best)Lemon: −0.4
Usage worth vs scoredAddison: Earned by usage 8.7Scored 7.5Lemon: Earned by usage 7.8Scored 7.1
Vacated targets this weekAddison: 1.7 (best)Lemon: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareAddison: 0%Lemon: 11% (best)
Range
FloorAddison: 5.1Lemon: 5.2 (best)
CeilingAddison: 14.8 (best)Lemon: 13.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerAddison: 16%Lemon: 12%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Addison: 11% (best)Lemon: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterAddison: 49% (best)Lemon: 71%
SteadinessAddison: Up & down (best)±6.0 ptsLemon: Up & down±6.1 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmAddison: A+ (best)Lemon: B
Game scriptAddison: Expected to trail (best)Lemon: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterAddison: 1.0 (best)Lemon: 1.3
Defense funnelAddison: NeutralLemon: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedAddison: 32nd (soft) (best)Lemon: 28th (soft)
Starting QBAddison: Murray (Active)Lemon: McKee (Active)
Opp defender outAddison: None listedLemon: Kinlaw (DT)
Roof / surfaceAddison: DometurfLemon: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleAddison: NormalLemon: Normal
Opp paceAddison: 4th (fast) (best)Lemon: 12th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameAddison: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)Lemon: 3.826th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedAddison: 66%27th (soft)Lemon: 67% (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgAddison: 11.1Lemon: 11.3 (best)
Last 5 avgAddison: 7.5Lemon: 9.1 (best)
vs seasonAddison: +3.6 (Rising)Lemon: +4.2 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runAddison: 1.31 (best)Lemon: 0.91
Receiving aDOTAddison: 13.2Lemon: 5.1
Target share trendAddison: CoolingLemon: Steady
Games since injuryAddison: 1Lemon: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesAddison: 46%Lemon: 46%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterAddison: WR40 (best)Lemon: WR42
Yards linereceivingAddison: 38.5Lemon: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.