New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Mason

RB · MIN @ DET

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points5.3ptsUsage estimate

First out

Vidal

RB · LAC @ LA

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points5.7pts

Toss-up

Bench

Jordan Mason or Kimani Vidal: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Jordan Mason gets the nod over Kimani Vidal.

Confidence: Lower; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Started: 46%; of leagues

Mason's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Case for Vidal

The case for Vidal is more upside (a ceiling of 8.6 to 7.6).

Flips if

Start Kimani Vidal instead if you go by the projection: he projects 0.4 more.

Risk

The risk: Mason ran for 68 yards last week (6.8 points).

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 3:00 PM ET

MasonToss-upRB · MIN @ DETUsually 8.8−3.4pts this week

Helps him

+0.6ptsrecent workHis work has picked up in his last few games.

Hurts him

−3.6ptsroleHe’s expected to play fewer snaps this week than he has lately.
−0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
+3.5spreadEdgeHis team is expected to trail, which can cut his carries.
3.6floorA quiet week could drop to about 3.6 points.

VidalFirst outRB · LAC @ LAUsually 5.7+0.0pts this week

Helps him

+0.5ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 23.5 rushing yards, above his usual 18.2.
+4.7last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.7 points above his season average.

Hurts him

−0.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.18 touchdowns, below his usual 0.33.
19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection5.35.7

TD pointsof the projectionOur estimate1.1

Expected TDsthis weekOur estimate0.18

Projected team points21.319.3

Goal line carriesper game0.50.0

Red zone carriesper game2.50.3

Red zone targetsper game0.00.3

Role

Snap share55%26%

Usage worthpts9.85.0

Touch share33%10%

Target share4%7%

Touches / game15.04.7

Targets / game1.02.0

Air yards share0%0.4%

Vacated touches this week0.00.0

High value touches / game1.01.2

Goal line carry share50%0%

Red zone touches / game2.50.7

Rush success rate27%33%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)3.3%4.8%

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 9.8Scored 9.3Earned by usage 5.0Scored 5.7

Rush yards / game63.518.2

Points from rushing100%49%

WOPR0.070.10

RZ target share0%9%

Inside 10 target share0%8%

Catch rate2 targets58%

Rushing points / game9.4 pts / game2.8 pts / game

Rushing floor8.0 pts / game1.6 pts / game

Range

Floor3.63.7

Ceiling7.68.6

Points from TDssteadier when lower32%35%

Big weeks (20+ pts)5%0%

Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is better50%50%

SteadinessSteady±4.8 ptsSteady±4.4 pts · 4 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionC2026, 6 gmD+2026, 7 gm

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.00.9

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp rush yds allowed12th (average)18th (average)

Backfield roleBackupBackup

Roof / surfaceturfDomeDome

Rest / scheduleNormalOff a bye

Opp pace4th (fast)3rd (fast)

Opp stuff rate18%16th (average)19%14th (average)

Opp yards per carry allowed4.112th (average)3.88th (tough)

Opp pass yds allowed32nd (soft)4th (tough)

Opp deep targets allowed / game0.01st (tough)0.124th (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed74%12th (average)78%16th (average)

Starting QBMurray (Active)Herbert (Active)

Form

Last 3 avg2 games10.4

Last 5 avg2 games6.8

vs season0.0+4.7 (Rising)

Yards per carry4.25.2

Carries / game15.03.5

Yards per route run00.88

Receiving aDOT2 targets0.4

Touch share trend2 gamesRising

Crowd

Started in leagues46%Not widely started

Nuvela position ranklower is betterRB45RB41

Yards linerushingOur estimate23.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?