Start Josh Allen. Bench Lamar Jackson. Josh Allen leads at 21.5. Lamar Jackson is the first one out, 3.1 short.

Crowd: started Allen 98% · Jackson 96%

Nuvela’s read

Josh Allen projects 21.5 points on a 17.8–36.0 range. The matchup grades as tough against HOU. Usage: pass attempts / game at 28.8. Net: Josh Allen is start this week.

Lamar Jackson projects 18.4 points on a 8.7–20.8 range. The matchup grades as neutral against IND. Usage: pass attempts / game at 23.2. Net: Lamar Jackson is a bench this week.

What flips it: Sit Lamar Jackson — projects 18.4, an even matchup vs IND.

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Week 1 hasn’t kicked off — recent form, opportunity and matchup are based on the 2025 season, and update as the season is played.

	AllenStart	JacksonBen
Projection (median)	21.5	18.4
Floor	17.8	8.7
Ceiling	36.0	20.8
Pass attempts	28.8	23.2
Matchup grade (recency weighted)	F	C+
Implied team total	23.0	26.0

History

Recents

Start Josh Allen. Bench Lamar Jackson. Josh Allen leads at 21.5. Lamar Jackson is the first one out, 3.1 short.

Start Josh Allen. Bench Lamar Jackson. Josh Allen leads at 21.5. Lamar Jackson is the first one out, 3.1 short.