Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Start if active

Monangai

RB · CHI @ SEA

Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Thumb

Projected points4.1ptsUsage estimate

8.9 if he plays · 46% to play

First out

Gainwell

RB · TB vs ATL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Hip

Projected points5.8pts

if he plays · 80% to play

Start if active

Bench

Kenny Gainwell or Kyle Monangai: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Start Kyle Monangai.

Confidence: Depends on inactives; Kyle Monangai may not play (about 46% to play)

Monangai's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

Start Kenny Gainwell instead if you go by the projection: he projects 1.7 more.

Risk

Kyle Monangai missed practice (thumb): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Kyle Monangai missed his last 3 games (thumb). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. Kenny Gainwell was limited in practice (hip): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in Kenny Gainwell's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

MonangaiStart if activeRB · CHI @ SEAUsually 14.8−10.7pts this week

Helps him

1.5inside the 5He averages 1.5 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.

Hurts him

−6.3ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 6.3 points off his projection.
−3.0ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
−1.2ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
26%touchesHe handles only 26% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.

GainwellFirst outRB · TB vs ATLUsually 5.6+0.2pts this week

Helps him

+0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.26 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
ATLvs RBsEdgeATL is the 9th softest defense for running backs.

Hurts him

−0.7ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 14.5 rushing yards, below his usual 21.3.
13%touchesHe handles only 13% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
3.5floorA quiet week could drop to about 3.5 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection4.15.8

TD pointsof the projectionOur estimate1.6

Expected TDsthis weekOur estimate0.26

Projected team points21.823.0

Goal line carriesper game1.50.0

Red zone carriesper game3.50.4

Red zone targetsper game0.30.4

Role

Snap share41%36%

Usage worthpts12.96.2

Touch share26%13%

Target share5%8%

Touches / game16.36.4

Targets / game1.32.4

Air yards share0.5%Behind the line

Vacated touches this week0.00.0

High value touches / game4.01.7

Goal line carry share35%0%

Red zone touches / game3.80.9

Rush success rate42%39%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)3.3%3.0%

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 12.9Scored 14.8Earned by usage 6.2Scored 5.6

Rush yards / game81.021.3

Points from rushing85%38%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targets1 RZ targetAbove

WOPR0.070.09

RZ target share4%11%

Inside 10 target share0%20%

Catch rate100%71%

Rushing points / game12.6 pts / game2.1 pts / game

Rushing floor7.0 pts / game1.7 pts / game

Range

Floor0.03.5

Ceiling6.99.0

Points from TDssteadier when lower30%15%

Big weeks (20+ pts)29%0%

Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is better42%67%

SteadinessUp & down±8.8 ptsSteady±3.2 pts · 6 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmD+B

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to lead

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.71.3

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp rush yds allowed6th (tough)4th (tough)

Backfield roleBackupBackup

WeatherNo concernOutdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain

Roof / surfaceOpenturfOpengrass

Rest / schedule11 days restNormal

Opp pace9th (fast)21st (average)

Opp stuff rate22%4th (tough)20%10th (tough)

Opp yards per carry allowed3.42nd (tough)4.112th (average)

Opp pass yds allowed1st (tough)29th (soft)

Opp deep targets allowed / game0.01st (tough)0.124th (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed86%28th (soft)70%4th (tough)

Starting QBWilliams (Active)Mayfield (Active)

Form

Last 3 avg13.06.0

Last 5 avg14.86.3

vs season−1.9+0.4 (Steady)

Yards per carry5.44.5

Carries / game15.04.7

Yards per route run1.150.94

Receiving aDOT0.8−2.3

Touch share trendSteadySteady

Games since injury0None recently

Crowd

Nuvela position ranklower is betterRB57RB41

Yards linerushingOur estimate14.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?