New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Mitchell

RB · LAC @ LA

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points4.8pts

First out

McGowan

RB · IND @ JAX

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points5.1pts

Toss-up

Bench

Keaton Mitchell or Seth McGowan: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Keaton Mitchell gets the nod over Seth McGowan.

Confidence: Lower; Toss-up

Case for McGowan

The case for McGowan is a safer floor (3.1 to 2.6) and a run defense that stops fewer runs at the line (17% to 19%).

Flips if

Start Seth McGowan instead if you need a safe week: he has a safer floor (3.1 to 2.6).

Risk

The risk: Mitchell ran for 4 yards in Week 6 (0.4 points).

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 3:00 PM ET

MitchellToss-upRB · LAC @ LAUsually 6.2−1.3pts this week

Helps him

OutGarrettEdgeHe faces a Rams defense without linebacker Myles Garrett.

Hurts him

−1.3pts2 linesRushing yards 15.5 (usual 23.2) and catches 1.5 (usual 2.0) both sit below his usual.
17%touchesHe handles only 17% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.

McGowanFirst outRB · IND @ JAXUsually 2.7+2.4pts this week

Helps him

+1.4ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.23 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.

Hurts him

10%touchesHe handles only 10% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
18.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 18.3 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection4.85.1

TD pointsof the projection1.11.4

Expected TDsthis week0.190.23

Projected team points19.318.3

Goal line carriesper game0.00.0

Red zone carriesper game0.50.6

Red zone targetsper game0.20.0

Role

Snap share32%21%

Usage worthpts6.63.3

Touch share17%10%

Target share9%2%

Touches / game7.85.1

Targets / game2.50.7

Air yards shareBehind the line0.2%

Vacated touches this week0.00.0

High value touches / game2.20.9

Goal line carry share0%0%

Red zone touches / game0.70.6

Rush success rate37%34%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)2.9%0%

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 6.6Scored 6.2Earned by usage 3.3Scored 2.7

Rush yards / game23.219.1

Points from rushing37%72%

WOPR0.120.04

RZ target share5%0%

Inside 10 target share8%0%

Catch rate80%80%

Rushing points / game2.3 pts / game1.9 pts / game

Rushing floor1.8 pts / game1.9 pts / game

Range

Floor2.63.1

Ceiling8.37.9

Points from TDssteadier when lower16%0%

Big weeks (20+ pts)0%3 games

Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is better67%3 games

SteadinessVolatile±5.4 pts · 6 games3 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionD+2026, 7 gmD+2026, 6 gm

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better0.91.5

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp rush yds allowed18th (average)1st (tough)

Backfield roleBackupBackup

Opp defender outGarrett (LB)None listed

Roof / surfaceDometurfOpengrass

Rest / scheduleOff a byeNormal

Opp pace3rd (fast)23rd (slow)

Opp stuff rate19%14th (average)17%19th (average)

Opp yards per carry allowed3.88th (tough)3.01st (tough)

Opp pass yds allowed4th (tough)30th (soft)

Opp deep targets allowed / game0.124th (soft)0.01st (tough)

Opp catch rate allowed78%16th (average)82%22nd (soft)

Starting QBHerbert (Active)Jones (Active)

Form

Last 3 avg5.93.8

Last 5 avg7.23.5

vs season−0.3 (Steady)+1.1 (Rising)

Yards per carry4.04.2

Carries / game5.84.6

Yards per route run0.830.40

Receiving aDOT−1.80.6

Touch share trendCoolingSteady

Crowd

Nuvela position ranklower is betterRB49RB46

Yards linerushing15.520.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?