nuvela.ai
Scoring
#1 Start

Bourne

WR · ARI vs NYG

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7.6pts

market

High Conf
Bench

Moore

WR · GB vs TB

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

7.1pts

market

High Conf

Kendrick Bourne or Skyy Moore: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Kendrick Bourne over Skyy Moore by 0.5. Kendrick Bourne leads at 7.6. Skyy Moore is the first one out, 0.5 short.

Availability & news

  • Skyy Moore

    Coach Matt LaFleur said Wednesday that Moore will be the next man up at wide receiver after it was announced Jayden Reed (neck) will undergo season-ending surgery, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.(rotowire, Sep 30, 2026)

Highlights

Kendrick BourneStart
WR · ARI vs NYG

Pros

  • Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs WR

Cons

  • Low target share11% target share
  • Thin volume3.8 targets/g
Skyy MooreBench
WR · GB vs TB

Pros

  • Reliable100% consistency

Cons

  • Low target share1% target share
  • Thin volume0.4 targets/g

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

BourneStart
MooreBench
Projection7.67.1
Floor3.10.0
Ceiling9.610.2
Target share11%1%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)B+B-
Implied team total23.521.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is target share: Bourne 11%, Moore 1%.

Moore: “Coach Matt LaFleur said Wednesday that Moore will be the next man up at wide receiver after it was announced Jayden Reed (neck) will undergo season-ending surgery, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.” — RotoWire, Sep 30, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Moore 6.1 (PPR points).

Why Kendrick Bourne

Start Kendrick Bourne — projects 7.6, a favorable matchup vs NYG, with a rising role.

Kendrick Bourne projects 7.6 points on a 3.1–9.6 range. The matchup grades as favorable against NYG. Usage: targets / game at 3.8. Net: start Kendrick Bourne this week.

Working for Bourne: Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs WR).

Working against Bourne: Low target share (11% target share), Thin volume (3.8 targets/g).

Where Bourne leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.6 vs 7.1); Floor (3.1 vs 0.0); Target share (11% vs 1%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs B-); Implied team total (23.5 vs 21.0); Last 3 avg (7.6 vs 2.9); Last 5 avg (7.6 vs 1.9); vs season (+3.1 vs +0.6); Boom rate (14% vs 0%); Targets / game (3.8 vs 0.4); Snap share (62% vs 10%); Red zone targets (2 vs 0).

Why Skyy Moore

Sit Skyy Moore — projects 7.1, an even matchup vs TB, with a rising role.

Skyy Moore projects 7.1 points on a 0.0–10.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against TB. Usage: targets / game at 0.4. Net: bench Skyy Moore this week.

Working for Moore: Reliable (100% consistency).

Working against Moore: Low target share (1% target share), Thin volume (0.4 targets/g).

Where Moore leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (10.2 vs 9.6); Consistency (100% vs 0%); Bust rate (0% vs 29%).

Recent form

Kendrick Bourne's last 3 games: PPR points 3.1, 4.2, 15.5 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Skyy Moore's last 5 games: PPR points 1, 0, 0, 2.6, 6.1 (oldest to newest).

Bourne has already beaten Moore's 7.1 projection in 1 of his 3; Moore has beaten Bourne's 7.6 in 0 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Kendrick Bourne (ARI) faces NYG, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread -2.5.

Skyy Moore (GB) faces TB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread -3.5.

What flips it

Bourne's edge is 0.5 points (7.6 to 7.1). Moore's ceiling (10.2) clears Bourne's projection, so a big game from Moore flips it. Bourne's floor (3.1) sits under Moore's projection, so a quiet game from Bourne flips it too. Confidence in the call: high.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.

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