Scoring
#1 Start

Sadiq

TE · NYJ vs CHI

Questionable
Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

5.3pts

opportunity

Mod Conf
Bench

Johnson

TE · NYG vs ARI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

4.5pts

opportunity

Mod Conf

Kenyon Sadiq or Theo Johnson: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Kenyon Sadiq over Theo Johnson by 0.8. Kenyon Sadiq leads at 5.3. Theo Johnson is the first one out, 0.8 short.

Crowd: 59% of managers started Sadiq.

Availability & news

  • Kenyon SadiqQuestionable

    Sadiq (back) remained limited at practice Thursday.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

Highlights

Kenyon SadiqStart
TE · NYJ vs CHI

Pros

  • Big-play upside33% boom weeks

Cons

  • Rotational role45% of snaps
Theo JohnsonBench
TE · NYG vs ARI

Pros

  • Favorable matchupFavorable · A vs TE

Cons

  • Shaky floor4.1 floor

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

SadiqStart
JohnsonBench
Projection5.34.5
Floor—4.1
Ceiling—11.3
Target share14%17%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)CA
Implied team total20.021.5

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Sadiq 12.9, Johnson 0.6.

Sadiq (Questionable): “Sadiq (back) remained limited at practice Thursday.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Johnson 0 (PPR points).

Why Kenyon Sadiq

Start Kenyon Sadiq — projects 5.3, an even matchup vs CHI.

Kenyon Sadiq projects 5.3 points. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: targets / game at 4.7. Net: start Kenyon Sadiq this week.

Working for Sadiq: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).

Working against Sadiq: Rotational role (45% of snaps).

Where Sadiq leads the head-to-head: Projection (5.3 vs 4.5); Last 3 avg (12.9 vs 0.6); Last 5 avg (12.9 vs 3.6); vs season (+0.0 vs -3.1); Consistency (37% vs 34%); Boom rate (33% vs 20%).

Why Theo Johnson

Sit Theo Johnson — projects 4.5, a favorable matchup vs ARI, but the role is cooling.

Theo Johnson projects 4.5 points on a 4.1–11.3 range. The matchup grades as favorable against ARI. Usage: targets / game at 4.9. Net: bench Theo Johnson this week.

Working for Johnson: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A vs TE).

Working against Johnson: Shaky floor (4.1 floor).

Where Johnson leads the head-to-head: Target share (17% vs 14%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs C); Implied team total (21.5 vs 20.0); Bust rate (20% vs 33%); Targets / game (4.9 vs 4.7); Snap share (87% vs 45%); Red zone targets (14 vs 0); Touchdown dependence (24% vs 16%).

Recent form

Kenyon Sadiq's last 3 games: PPR points 3.7, 11.4, 23.5 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Theo Johnson's last 5 games: PPR points 5.9, 10.2, 0, 1.9, 0 (oldest to newest).

Sadiq has already beaten Johnson's 4.5 projection in 2 of his 3; Johnson has beaten Sadiq's 5.3 in 2 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.

Theo Johnson (NYG) faces ARI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 21.5, spread +1.5.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.