Scoring
#1 Start

Hockenson

TE · MIN vs MIA

Sun 4:05 PM

Proj pts

13.8pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Sadiq

TE · NYJ vs CHI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

13.5pts

market

Lower Conf

Kenyon Sadiq or T.J. Hockenson: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean T.J. Hockenson over Kenyon Sadiq by 0.3. T.J. Hockenson leads at 13.8. Kenyon Sadiq is the first one out, 0.3 short.

Crowd: 54% of managers started Sadiq.

Availability & news

  • Kenyon SadiqPractice: Limited

    Sadiq (back) remained limited at practice Thursday.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

Highlights

T.J. HockensonStart
TE · MIN vs MIA

Pros

  • Favorable matchupFavorable · A vs TE
  • Spike upside18.9 ceiling
Kenyon SadiqBench
TE · NYJ vs CHI

Pros

  • Big-play upside33% boom weeks

Cons

  • Rotational role45% of snaps

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

HockensonStart
SadiqBench
Projection13.813.5
Floor5.1—
Ceiling18.9—
Target share16%14%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)AC
Implied team total24.520.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is boom rate: Hockenson 13%, Sadiq 33%.

Sadiq (Practice: Limited): “Sadiq (back) remained limited at practice Thursday.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Hockenson 3.1 (PPR points).

Why T.J. Hockenson

Start T.J. Hockenson — projects 13.8, a favorable matchup vs MIA.

T.J. Hockenson projects 13.8 points on a 5.1–18.9 range. The matchup grades as favorable against MIA. Usage: targets / game at 4.4. Net: start T.J. Hockenson this week.

Working for Hockenson: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A vs TE), Spike upside (18.9 ceiling).

Where Hockenson leads the head-to-head: Projection (13.8 vs 13.5); Target share (16% vs 14%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs C); Implied team total (24.5 vs 20.0); Consistency (48% vs 37%); Bust rate (20% vs 33%); Snap share (78% vs 45%); Red zone targets (11 vs 0).

Why Kenyon Sadiq

Sit Kenyon Sadiq — projects 13.5, an even matchup vs CHI.

Kenyon Sadiq projects 13.5 points. The matchup grades as neutral against CHI. Usage: targets / game at 4.7. Net: bench Kenyon Sadiq this week.

Working for Sadiq: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).

Working against Sadiq: Rotational role (45% of snaps).

Where Sadiq leads the head-to-head: Last 3 avg (12.9 vs 7.5); Last 5 avg (12.9 vs 6.9); vs season (+0.0 vs -0.2); Boom rate (33% vs 13%); Targets / game (4.7 vs 4.4).

Recent form

T.J. Hockenson's last 5 games: PPR points 10.6, 1.2, 13.6, 5.9, 3.1 (oldest to newest).

Kenyon Sadiq's last 3 games: PPR points 3.7, 11.4, 23.5 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).

Hockenson has already beaten Sadiq's 13.5 projection in 1 of his 5; Sadiq has beaten Hockenson's 13.8 in 1 of his 3.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

T.J. Hockenson (MIN) faces MIA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread -10.5.

Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.