Fields
WR · NYG vs ARI
Proj pts
7.1pts
market
Hurst
WR · TB vs GB
Proj pts
6.8pts
market
Malachi Fields or Ted Hurst III: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Malachi Fields over Ted Hurst III by 0.3. Malachi Fields leads at 7.1. Ted Hurst III is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Highlights
Pros
- Reliable90% consistency
Cons
- Low target share14% target share
- Thin volume4.0 targets/g
Cons
- Low target share14% target share
- Thin volume4.3 targets/g
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Fields 4.5, Hurst 7.4.
Why Malachi Fields
Start Malachi Fields — projects 7.1, an even matchup vs ARI.
Malachi Fields projects 7.1 points. The matchup grades as neutral against ARI. Usage: targets / game at 4.0. Net: start Malachi Fields this week.
Working for Fields: Reliable (90% consistency).
Working against Fields: Low target share (14% target share), Thin volume (4.0 targets/g).
Where Fields leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.1 vs 6.8); Implied team total (21.0 vs 17.5); Consistency (90% vs 64%).
Why Ted Hurst III
Sit Ted Hurst III — projects 6.8, an even matchup vs GB.
Ted Hurst III projects 6.8 points. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: targets / game at 4.3. Net: bench Ted Hurst III this week.
Working against Hurst: Low target share (14% target share), Thin volume (4.3 targets/g).
Where Hurst leads the head-to-head: Last 3 avg (7.4 vs 4.5); Last 5 avg (7.4 vs 4.5); Targets / game (4.3 vs 4.0); Snap share (75% vs 74%); Red zone targets (2 vs 0).
Recent form
Malachi Fields's last 3 games: PPR points 3.9, 4.5, 5 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Ted Hurst III's last 3 games: PPR points 4.7, 6.6, 11 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Fields has already beaten Hurst's 6.8 projection in 0 of his 3; Hurst has beaten Fields's 7.1 in 1 of his 3.
Matchup
Malachi Fields (NYG) faces ARI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread +2.5.
Ted Hurst III (TB) faces GB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 17.5, spread +3.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)