Diggs
WR · WAS vs PHI
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points11.3pts
Johnston
WR · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points7.6ptsUsage estimate
Lean
Bench
Quentin Johnston or Stefon Diggs: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Stefon Diggs over Quentin Johnston.
- Ahead by
- +3.7pts
- over Johnston
- Confidence
- Moderate
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 77%
- of leagues
Johnston's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Quentin Johnston instead if you want more of the snaps (81% to 60%).
Risk
Stefon Diggs has played 1 game since missing time. Quentin Johnston has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.
Highlights
DiggsLeanWR · WAS vs PHIUsually 13.9−2.6pts this week
Helps him
- PHIvs WRsEdgePHI is the 8th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −2.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.38 touchdowns, below his usual 0.80.
- 60%snapsHe plays only 60% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
JohnstonFirst outWR · LAC @ LAUsually 5.0+2.7pts this week
Helps him
- +3.2ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- 15%targetsHe draws only 15% of his team’s targets.
- 4.4per gameHe sees only 4.4 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDiggs: 11.3 (best)Johnston: 7.6
TD pointsof the projectionDiggs: 2.3Johnston: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekDiggs: 0.38Johnston: Our estimate
Projected team pointsDiggs: 23.0 (best)Johnston: 19.3
Red zone targetsper gameDiggs: 1.0 (best)Johnston: 0.0
Role
Snap shareDiggs: 60%Johnston: 81% (best)
Usage worthptsDiggs: 13.0 (best)Johnston: 7.4
Target shareDiggs: 23% (best)Johnston: 15%
Targets / gameDiggs: 7.6 (best)Johnston: 4.4
Air yards shareDiggs: 21%Johnston: 25% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsDiggs: AboveJohnston: 0 RZ targets
WOPRDiggs: 0.48 (best)Johnston: 0.40
RZ target shareDiggs: 28% (best)Johnston: 0%
Catch rateDiggs: 63% (best)Johnston: 36%
SeparationDiggs: 2.6 ydsJohnston: 2.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedDiggs: −0.5 (best)Johnston: −1.3
Usage worth vs scoredDiggs: Earned by usage 13.0Scored 13.9Johnston: Earned by usage 7.4Scored 5.0
Vacated targets this weekDiggs: 5.9 (best)Johnston: 4.0
Inside 10 target shareDiggs: 27% (best)Johnston: 0%
Range
FloorDiggs: 6.9 (best)Johnston: 4.0
CeilingDiggs: 17.2 (best)Johnston: 13.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDiggs: 35%Johnston: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Diggs: 20% (best)Johnston: 8%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterDiggs: 0% (best)Johnston: 61%
SteadinessDiggs: Very steady (best)±6.0 pts · 5 gamesJohnston: Up & down±6.1 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmDiggs: B (best)Johnston: C
Game scriptDiggs: Expected to lead (best)Johnston: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDiggs: 0.4 (best)Johnston: 0.9
Defense funnelDiggs: NeutralJohnston: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedDiggs: 24th (soft) (best)Johnston: 4th (tough)
Starting QBDiggs: Daniels (Active)Johnston: Herbert (Active)
Opp defender outDiggs: None listedJohnston: Garrett (LB)
Roof / surfaceDiggs: OpengrassJohnston: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleDiggs: Off a byeJohnston: Off a bye
Opp paceDiggs: 27th (slow)Johnston: 3rd (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDiggs: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Johnston: 2.15th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedDiggs: 59% (best)10th (tough)Johnston: 53%1st (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgDiggs: 10.7 (best)Johnston: 6.2
Last 5 avgDiggs: 13.9 (best)Johnston: 5.0
vs seasonDiggs: −3.1 (Cooling)Johnston: +1.3 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runDiggs: 1.74 (best)Johnston: 1.31
Receiving aDOTDiggs: 8.4Johnston: 14.0
Target share trendDiggs: SteadyJohnston: Steady
Games since injuryDiggs: 1Johnston: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesDiggs: 78%Johnston: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDiggs: WR24 (best)Johnston: WR50
Yards linereceivingDiggs: 44.5Johnston: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
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