Sutton
WR · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points8.6ptsUsage estimate
Johnston
WR · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points7.6ptsUsage estimate
Lean
Bench
Courtland Sutton or Quentin Johnston: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Courtland Sutton over Quentin Johnston.
- Ahead by
- +1.0pts
- over Johnston
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
Flips if
Start Quentin Johnston instead if you want the easier matchup (the 12th toughest defense for receivers, while Sutton faces the 7th toughest defense for receivers).
Risk
Quentin Johnston has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.
Highlights
SuttonLeanWR · DEN vs KCUsually 5.5+3.0pts this week
Helps him
- +3.7ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- 4.7per gameHe sees only 4.7 targets a game.
- KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
JohnstonFirst outWR · LAC @ LAUsually 5.0+2.7pts this week
Helps him
- +3.2ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- 15%targetsHe draws only 15% of his team’s targets.
- 4.4per gameHe sees only 4.4 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSutton: 8.6 (best)Johnston: 7.6
Projected team pointsSutton: 19.8 (best)Johnston: 19.3
Red zone targetsper gameSutton: 1.0 (best)Johnston: 0.0
Role
Snap shareSutton: 77%Johnston: 81% (best)
Usage worthptsSutton: 8.6 (best)Johnston: 7.4
Target shareSutton: 17% (best)Johnston: 15%
Targets / gameSutton: 4.7 (best)Johnston: 4.4
Air yards shareSutton: 30% (best)Johnston: 25%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSutton: In lineJohnston: 0 RZ targets
WOPRSutton: 0.48 (best)Johnston: 0.40
RZ target shareSutton: 27% (best)Johnston: 0%
Catch rateSutton: 48% (best)Johnston: 36%
SeparationSutton: 2.8 ydsJohnston: 2.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedSutton: +0.6 (best)Johnston: −1.3
Usage worth vs scoredSutton: Earned by usage 8.6Scored 5.5Johnston: Earned by usage 7.4Scored 5.0
Vacated targets this weekSutton: 3.0Johnston: 4.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareSutton: 33% (best)Johnston: 0%
Range
FloorSutton: 4.9 (best)Johnston: 4.0
CeilingSutton: 13.1Johnston: 13.8 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSutton: 16%Johnston: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Sutton: 8%Johnston: 8%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSutton: 44% (best)Johnston: 61%
SteadinessSutton: Up & down (best)±5.9 ptsJohnston: Up & down±6.1 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionSutton: D2026, 6 gmJohnston: C (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptSutton: Expected to trail (best)Johnston: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSutton: 1.7Johnston: 0.9 (best)
Defense funnelSutton: NeutralJohnston: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSutton: 12th (average) (best)Johnston: 4th (tough)
Starting QBSutton: Nix (Active)Johnston: Herbert (Active)
Opp defender outSutton: Norman-Lott (DT)Johnston: Garrett (LB)
Roof / surfaceSutton: OpengrassJohnston: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleSutton: NormalJohnston: Off a bye
Opp paceSutton: 24th (slow)Johnston: 3rd (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSutton: 3.2 (best)17th (average)Johnston: 2.15th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedSutton: 57% (best)5th (tough)Johnston: 53%1st (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgSutton: 7.1 (best)Johnston: 6.2
Last 5 avgSutton: 6.0 (best)Johnston: 5.0
vs seasonSutton: +1.5 (Rising) (best)Johnston: +1.3 (Rising)
Yards per route runSutton: 0.95Johnston: 1.31 (best)
Receiving aDOTSutton: 11.1Johnston: 14.0
Target share trendSutton: SteadyJohnston: Steady
Games since injurySutton: None recentlyJohnston: 1
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSutton: WR46 (best)Johnston: WR51
Deciding on someone else?
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