Wilson
WR · PIT vs CLE
Final pts
16.4pts
7.7 proj · +8.7
Moore
WR · GB vs TB
Proj pts
7.1pts
market
Roman Wilson or Skyy Moore: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Roman Wilson over Skyy Moore by 0.6. Roman Wilson leads at 7.7. Skyy Moore is the first one out, 0.6 short.
Availability & news
Skyy Moore
Coach Matt LaFleur said Wednesday that Moore will be the next man up at wide receiver after it was announced Jayden Reed (neck) will undergo season-ending surgery, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.(rotowire, Sep 30, 2026)
Highlights
Cons
- Low target share8% target share
- Thin volume2.3 targets/g
Pros
- Reliable100% consistency
Cons
- Low target share1% target share
- Thin volume0.4 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is target share: Wilson 8%, Moore 1%.
Moore: “Coach Matt LaFleur said Wednesday that Moore will be the next man up at wide receiver after it was announced Jayden Reed (neck) will undergo season-ending surgery, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.” — RotoWire, Sep 30, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Moore 6.1 (PPR points).
Why Roman Wilson
Start Roman Wilson — projects 7.7, a tough matchup vs CLE, with a rising role.
Roman Wilson projects 7.7 points on a 1.4–9.6 range. The matchup grades as tough against CLE. Usage: targets / game at 2.3. Net: start Roman Wilson this week.
Working against Wilson: Low target share (8% target share), Thin volume (2.3 targets/g).
Where Wilson leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.7 vs 7.1); Floor (1.4 vs 0.0); Target share (8% vs 1%); Last 3 avg (9.5 vs 2.9); Last 5 avg (9.5 vs 1.9); vs season (+4.3 vs +0.6); Boom rate (22% vs 0%); Targets / game (2.3 vs 0.4); Snap share (42% vs 10%); Red zone targets (1 vs 0).
Why Skyy Moore
Sit Skyy Moore — projects 7.1, an even matchup vs TB, with a rising role.
Skyy Moore projects 7.1 points on a 0.0–10.2 range. The matchup grades as neutral against TB. Usage: targets / game at 0.4. Net: bench Skyy Moore this week.
Working for Moore: Reliable (100% consistency).
Working against Moore: Low target share (1% target share), Thin volume (0.4 targets/g).
Where Moore leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (10.2 vs 9.6); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B- vs D-); Implied team total (21.0 vs 20.5); Consistency (100% vs 0%); Bust rate (0% vs 56%); Rest / schedule (9 days rest vs Short week (4d)).
Recent form
Roman Wilson's last 3 games: PPR points 5.6, 7.8, 15 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Skyy Moore's last 5 games: PPR points 1, 0, 0, 2.6, 6.1 (oldest to newest).
Wilson has already beaten Moore's 7.1 projection in 2 of his 3; Moore has beaten Wilson's 7.7 in 0 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Roman Wilson (PIT) played CLE (final: CLE 27 – 24 PIT). The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.5, spread -2.5.
Skyy Moore (GB) faces TB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread -3.5.
What flips it
Wilson's edge is 0.6 points (7.7 to 7.1). Moore's ceiling (10.2) clears Wilson's projection, so a big game from Moore flips it. Wilson's floor (1.4) sits under Moore's projection, so a quiet game from Wilson flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)