Jefferson
WR · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
Start
Bench
A.J. Brown or Justin Jefferson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Justin Jefferson over A.J. Brown.
- Ahead by
- +10.2pts
- over Brown
- Confidence
- High
- A.J. Brown may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 97%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Justin Jefferson or a bigger role for A.J. Brown.
Risk
Justin Jefferson has played 2 games since missing time. A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
JeffersonStartWR · MIN @ DETUsually 16.7−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 76.5 receiving yards, above his usual 67.5.
- 26%targetsHe draws 26% of his team’s targets.
- DETvs WRsEdgeDET is the 2nd softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.43 touchdowns, below his usual 0.75.
BrownFirst outWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJefferson: 15.8 (best)Brown: 12.3
TD pointsof the projectionJefferson: 2.6Brown: 2.9 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekJefferson: 0.43Brown: 0.49 (best)
Projected team pointsJefferson: 21.3Brown: 25.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameJefferson: 1.2 (best)Brown: 1.0
Role
Snap shareJefferson: 77% (best)Brown: 70%
Usage worthptsJefferson: 11.2Brown: 11.7 (best)
Target shareJefferson: 26% (best)Brown: 22%
Targets / gameJefferson: 6.2Brown: 6.7 (best)
Air yards shareJefferson: 35%Brown: 36% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJefferson: AboveBrown: Below
WOPRJefferson: 0.66 (best)Brown: 0.56
RZ target shareJefferson: 31% (best)Brown: 30%
Catch rateJefferson: 74% (best)Brown: 45%
SeparationJefferson: 2.9 yds (best)Brown: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedJefferson: +1.0 (best)Brown: −1.1
Usage worth vs scoredJefferson: Earned by usage 11.2Scored 14.4Brown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4
Vacated targets this weekJefferson: 1.7Brown: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareJefferson: 25% (best)Brown: 17%
Range
FloorJefferson: 8.5 (best)Brown: 6.8
CeilingJefferson: 25.5 (best)Brown: 20.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJefferson: 25%Brown: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Jefferson: 25%Brown: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterJefferson: 0%Brown: 3 games
SteadinessJefferson: Steady±10.8 pts · 4 gamesBrown: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmJefferson: A+ (best)Brown: D-
Game scriptJefferson: Expected to trailBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJefferson: 1.0Brown: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelJefferson: NeutralBrown: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedJefferson: 32nd (soft) (best)Brown: 18th (average)
Starting QBJefferson: Murray (Active)Brown: Maye (Active)
WeatherJefferson: IndoorsBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceJefferson: DometurfBrown: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleJefferson: NormalBrown: 10 days rest
Opp paceJefferson: 4th (fast) (best)Brown: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameJefferson: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)Brown: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedJefferson: 66%27th (soft)Brown: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgJefferson: 10.8 (best)Brown: 6.4
Last 5 avgJefferson: 14.4 (best)Brown: 6.4
vs seasonJefferson: −3.6 (Cooling)Brown: Rising (best)
Yards per route runJefferson: 2.90 (best)Brown: 1.46
Receiving aDOTJefferson: 10.9Brown: 13.4
Target share trendJefferson: Left Week 3 hurtBrown: Steady
Games since injuryJefferson: 2Brown: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesJefferson: 97% (best)Brown: 83%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJefferson: WR9 (best)Brown: WR19
Yards linereceivingJefferson: 76.5 (best)Brown: 48.5
Deciding on someone else?
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