Jones
RB · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Knee
Projected points12.6ptsUsage estimate
15.6 if he plays · 80% to play
Tuten
RB · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.1pts
Start · check inactives
Bench
Aaron Jones or Bhayshul Tuten: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Aaron Jones. If he's inactive, start Bhayshul Tuten.
- Ahead by
- +0.5pts
- over Tuten if he plays
- Confidence
- Depends on inactives
- Aaron Jones may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 43%
- of leagues
Jones's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
If Aaron Jones is inactive, start Bhayshul Tuten.
Risk
Aaron Jones was limited in practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Bhayshul Tuten. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
JonesStart · check inactivesRB · MIN @ DETUsually 14.0−1.4pts this week
Helps him
- +3.6ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
Hurts him
- −3.0ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 3.0 points off his projection.
- −1.1ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- −1.0ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
TutenIf he sitsRB · JAX vs INDUsually 14.7+0.4pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.76 touchdowns, above his usual 0.67.
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
- 21.7ceilingHis best weeks reach about 21.7 points.
Hurts him
- −0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 15.0 receiving yards, below his usual 21.0.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJones: 12.6Tuten: 15.1 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionJones: Our estimateTuten: 4.6
Expected TDsthis weekJones: Our estimateTuten: 0.76
Projected team pointsJones: 21.3Tuten: 28.3 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameJones: 0.2Tuten: 0.5 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameJones: 1.8Tuten: 2.7 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameJones: 0.5Tuten: 0.5
Role
Snap shareJones: 65% (best)Tuten: 56%
Usage worthptsJones: 13.9 (best)Tuten: 12.5
Touch shareJones: 41% (best)Tuten: 37%
Target shareJones: 11% (best)Tuten: 8%
Touches / gameJones: 19.7 (best)Tuten: 17.8
Targets / gameJones: 3.2 (best)Tuten: 2.3
Vacated touches this weekJones: 0.0Tuten: 0.0
High value touches / gameJones: 2.7Tuten: 3.0 (best)
Goal line carry shareJones: 50% (best)Tuten: 43%
Red zone touches / gameJones: 2.3Tuten: 3.2 (best)
Rush success rateJones: 35%Tuten: 43% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Jones: 1.0%Tuten: 1.1% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredJones: Earned by usage 13.9Scored 12.3Tuten: Earned by usage 12.5Scored 14.7
Rush yards / gameJones: 72.7 (best)Tuten: 64.7
Points from rushingJones: 75%Tuten: 57%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJones: BelowTuten: Above
WOPRJones: 0.17 (best)Tuten: 0.09
RZ target shareJones: 14% (best)Tuten: 9%
Inside 10 target shareJones: 0%Tuten: 9% (best)
Catch rateJones: 68%Tuten: 93% (best)
Rushing points / gameJones: 9.3 pts / game (best)Tuten: 8.5 pts / game
Rushing floorJones: 6.6 pts / gameTuten: 8.3 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorJones: 9.6Tuten: 10.2 (best)
CeilingJones: 18.7Tuten: 21.7 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJones: 16%Tuten: 27%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Jones: 0%Tuten: 17% (best)
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterJones: 22%Tuten: 0% (best)
SteadinessJones: Very steady±4.8 ptsTuten: Very steady (best)±5.5 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionJones: C2026, 6 gmTuten: B- (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptJones: Expected to trailTuten: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJones: 1.0Tuten: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelJones: NeutralTuten: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJones: 12th (average)Tuten: 22nd (soft) (best)
Backfield roleJones: LeadTuten: Lead
Opp defender outJones: None listedTuten: Taylor-Britt (CB)
Roof / surfaceJones: DometurfTuten: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleJones: NormalTuten: Off a bye
Opp paceJones: 4th (fast) (best)Tuten: 7th (fast)
Opp stuff rateJones: 18%16th (average)Tuten: 15% (best)25th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedJones: 4.112th (average)Tuten: 4.5 (best)27th (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedJones: 32nd (soft) (best)Tuten: 11th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Jones: 0.0Tuten: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedJones: 74% (best)12th (average)Tuten: 69%2nd (tough)
Starting QBJones: Murray (Active)Tuten: Lawrence (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJones: 13.0Tuten: 15.8 (best)
Last 5 avgJones: 12.8Tuten: 15.7 (best)
vs seasonJones: +0.7 (Steady)Tuten: +1.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryJones: 4.2 (best)Tuten: 4.1
Carries / gameJones: 17.5 (best)Tuten: 15.7
Yards per route runJones: 0.85Tuten: 1.52 (best)
Receiving aDOTJones: −0.3Tuten: −3.1
Touch share trendJones: Left Week 7 hurtTuten: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesJones: 43%Tuten: 90% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJones: RB20Tuten: RB15 (best)
Yards linerushingJones: Our estimateTuten: 65.5
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