Jones
RB · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Knee
Projected points12.6ptsUsage estimate
15.6 if he plays · 80% to play
Coleman
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points8.8pts
Start · check inactives
Bench
Aaron Jones or Jonah Coleman: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Aaron Jones. If he's inactive, start Jonah Coleman.
- Ahead by
- +6.8pts
- over Coleman if he plays
- Confidence
- Depends on inactives
- Aaron Jones may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 43%
- of leagues
Jones's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
If Aaron Jones is inactive, start Jonah Coleman.
Risk
Aaron Jones was limited in practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Jonah Coleman. Jonah Coleman has played 1 game since missing time. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
JonesStart · check inactivesRB · MIN @ DETUsually 14.0−1.4pts this week
Helps him
- +3.6ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
Hurts him
- −3.0ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 3.0 points off his projection.
- −1.1ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- −1.0ptsgames left hurtHis projection still counts the games he left hurt, which his usual week leaves out.
ColemanIf he sitsRB · DEN vs KCUsually 7.9+0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.8ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 39.0 rushing yards, above his usual 31.0.
Hurts him
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJones: 12.6 (best)Coleman: 8.8
TD pointsof the projectionJones: Our estimateColeman: 2.2
Expected TDsthis weekJones: Our estimateColeman: 0.37
Projected team pointsJones: 21.3 (best)Coleman: 19.8
Goal line carriesper gameJones: 0.2Coleman: 0.3 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameJones: 1.8 (best)Coleman: 1.0
Red zone targetsper gameJones: 0.5 (best)Coleman: 0.0
Role
Snap shareJones: 65% (best)Coleman: 32%
Usage worthptsJones: 13.9 (best)Coleman: 6.2
Touch shareJones: 41% (best)Coleman: 20%
Target shareJones: 11% (best)Coleman: 6%
Touches / gameJones: 19.7 (best)Coleman: 8.0
Targets / gameJones: 3.2 (best)Coleman: 1.7
Air yards shareJones: Behind the lineColeman: 0.5%
Vacated touches this weekJones: 0.0Coleman: 2.6 (best)
High value touches / gameJones: 2.7 (best)Coleman: 2.3
Goal line carry shareJones: 50% (best)Coleman: 20%
Red zone touches / gameJones: 2.3 (best)Coleman: 1.0
Rush success rateJones: 35%Coleman: 47% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Jones: 1.0% (best)Coleman: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredJones: Earned by usage 13.9Scored 12.3Coleman: Earned by usage 6.2Scored 7.9
Rush yards / gameJones: 72.7 (best)Coleman: 31.0
Points from rushingJones: 75%Coleman: 65%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJones: BelowColeman: 0 RZ targets
WOPRJones: 0.17 (best)Coleman: 0.10
RZ target shareJones: 14% (best)Coleman: 0%
Inside 10 target shareJones: 0%Coleman: 0%
Catch rateJones: 68%Coleman: 100% (best)
Rushing points / gameJones: 9.3 pts / game (best)Coleman: 5.1 pts / game
Rushing floorJones: 6.6 pts / game (best)Coleman: 4.0 pts / game
Range
FloorJones: 9.6 (best)Coleman: 5.3
CeilingJones: 18.7 (best)Coleman: 13.7
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJones: 16%Coleman: 25%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Jones: 0%Coleman: 2 games
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterJones: 22%Coleman: 2 games
SteadinessJones: Very steady±4.8 ptsColeman: 2 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmJones: C (best)Coleman: D+
Game scriptJones: Expected to trailColeman: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJones: 1.0 (best)Coleman: 1.7
Defense funnelJones: NeutralColeman: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedJones: 12th (average)Coleman: 13th (average) (best)
Backfield roleJones: LeadColeman: Backup
Roof / surfaceJones: DometurfColeman: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleJones: NormalColeman: Normal
Opp paceJones: 4th (fast) (best)Coleman: 24th (slow)
Opp stuff rateJones: 18% (best)16th (average)Coleman: 21%9th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedJones: 4.1 (best)12th (average)Coleman: 3.42nd (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedJones: 32nd (soft) (best)Coleman: 12th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)Jones: 0.0Coleman: 0.0
Opp catch rate allowedJones: 74%12th (average)Coleman: 79% (best)17th (average)
Starting QBJones: Murray (Active)Coleman: Nix (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgJones: 13.0 (best)Coleman: 7.9
Last 5 avgJones: 12.8 (best)Coleman: 7.9
vs seasonJones: +0.7 (Steady) (best)Coleman: Rising
Yards per carryJones: 4.2Coleman: 4.9 (best)
Carries / gameJones: 17.5 (best)Coleman: 6.3
Yards per route runJones: 0.85Coleman: 3.40 (best)
Receiving aDOTJones: −0.3Coleman: 0.6
Touch share trendJones: Left Week 7 hurtColeman: Rising
Games since injuryJones: None recentlyColeman: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesJones: 43%Coleman: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJones: RB20 (best)Coleman: RB27
Yards linerushingJones: Our estimateColeman: 39.0
Deciding on someone else?
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