Boston
WR · CLE @ PIT
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.4pts
Douglas
WR · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points7.6pts
Lean
Bench
Caleb Douglas or Denzel Boston: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Denzel Boston over Caleb Douglas.
- Ahead by
- +2.8pts
- over Douglas
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 58%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Caleb Douglas instead if you want a defense that allows more catches (66% of targets to 61%).
Risk
Caleb Douglas has played 1 game since missing time. Weather in Caleb Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
BostonLeanWR · CLE @ PITUsually 11.0−0.7pts this week
Helps him
- +0.6ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, above his usual 2.9.
- 91%snapsHe is on the field for 91% of snaps.
Hurts him
- −0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.31 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
- 7th toughestper targetEdgePIT allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.60 pts, 7th toughest).
DouglasFirst outWR · MIA vs NEUsually 13.1−5.5pts this week
Helps him
- 21.0last weekHe caught 2 for 70 yards and two touchdowns last week (21.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.67.
- −2.4ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 37.5 receiving yards, below his usual 61.0.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.0.
- 4.3per gameHe sees only 4.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBoston: 10.4 (best)Douglas: 7.6
TD pointsof the projectionBoston: 1.9 (best)Douglas: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekBoston: 0.31 (best)Douglas: 0.21
Projected team pointsBoston: 18.0Douglas: 18.0
Red zone targetsper gameBoston: 0.9 (best)Douglas: 0.7
Role
Snap shareBoston: 91% (best)Douglas: 82%
Usage worthptsBoston: 10.7 (best)Douglas: 7.5
Target shareBoston: 20% (best)Douglas: 18%
Targets / gameBoston: 6.0 (best)Douglas: 4.3
Air yards shareBoston: 45% (best)Douglas: 23%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBoston: AboveDouglas: 2 RZ targets
WOPRBoston: 0.62 (best)Douglas: 0.42
RZ target shareBoston: 28%Douglas: 50% (best)
Catch rateBoston: 48%Douglas: 69% (best)
SeparationBoston: 1.9 ydsDouglas: 5.3 yds (best)
YAC over expectedBoston: −0.4Douglas: +0.8 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredBoston: Earned by usage 10.7Scored 11.0Douglas: Earned by usage 7.5Scored 13.1
Vacated targets this weekBoston: 0.0Douglas: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareBoston: 29%Douglas: 100% (best)
Range
FloorBoston: 6.4 (best)Douglas: 4.2
CeilingBoston: 15.5 (best)Douglas: 12.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBoston: 23%Douglas: 31%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Boston: 14%Douglas: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterBoston: 29%Douglas: 3 games
SteadinessBoston: Steady±6.0 pts · 7 gamesDouglas: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmBoston: B- (best)Douglas: C+
Game scriptBoston: Expected to trail (best)Douglas: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBoston: 1.6Douglas: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelBoston: NeutralDouglas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBoston: 13th (average)Douglas: 19th (average) (best)
Starting QBBoston: Watson (Active)Douglas: Willis (Active)
Opp defender outBoston: Joseph-Day (DT)Douglas: None listed
WeatherBoston: No concernDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassBoston: OpenDouglas: Open
Rest / scheduleBoston: NormalDouglas: Normal
Opp paceBoston: 13th (average) (best)Douglas: 16th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBoston: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Douglas: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBoston: 61%14th (average)Douglas: 66% (best)26th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgBoston: 7.3Douglas: 13.1 (best)
Last 5 avgBoston: 8.6Douglas: 13.1 (best)
vs seasonBoston: −3.8 (Cooling)Douglas: Rising (best)
Yards per route runBoston: 1.80Douglas: 2.86 (best)
Receiving aDOTBoston: 16.6Douglas: 10.5
Target share trendBoston: SteadyDouglas: Steady
Games since injuryBoston: None recentlyDouglas: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesBoston: 58%Douglas: 61% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBoston: WR30 (best)Douglas: WR51
Yards linereceivingBoston: 49.5 (best)Douglas: 37.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.