Burden
WR · CHI @ SEA
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points12.2pts
Douglas
WR · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points7.6pts
Start
Bench
Caleb Douglas or Luther Burden III: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Luther Burden III over Caleb Douglas.
- Ahead by
- +4.6pts
- over Douglas
- Confidence
- High
- Start
- Started
- 84%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Luther Burden III or a bigger role for Caleb Douglas.
Risk
Caleb Douglas has played 1 game since missing time. Weather in Caleb Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
BurdenStartWR · CHI @ SEAUsually 13.9−1.7pts this week
Helps him
- 23.7last weekHe caught 4 for 130 yards and a touchdown last week (23.7 points).
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.5 receiving yards, below his usual 70.1.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.0.
- SEAvs WRsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.
- 61%snapsHe plays only 61% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
DouglasFirst outWR · MIA vs NEUsually 13.1−5.5pts this week
Helps him
- 21.0last weekHe caught 2 for 70 yards and two touchdowns last week (21.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.22 touchdowns, below his usual 0.67.
- −2.4ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 37.0 receiving yards, below his usual 61.0.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.0.
- 4.3per gameHe sees only 4.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBurden: 12.2 (best)Douglas: 7.6
TD pointsof the projectionBurden: 2.2 (best)Douglas: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekBurden: 0.36 (best)Douglas: 0.22
Projected team pointsBurden: 21.8 (best)Douglas: 18.0
Goal line carriesper gameBurden: 0.1 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameBurden: 0.4 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameBurden: 1.3 (best)Douglas: 0.7
Role
Snap shareBurden: 61%Douglas: 82% (best)
Usage worthptsBurden: 12.8 (best)Douglas: 7.5
Touch shareBurden: 10% (best)Douglas: 7%
Target shareBurden: 21% (best)Douglas: 18%
Touches / gameBurden: 6.1 (best)Douglas: 3.0
Targets / gameBurden: 6.7 (best)Douglas: 4.3
Air yards shareBurden: 26% (best)Douglas: 23%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBurden: In lineDouglas: 2 RZ targets
WOPRBurden: 0.49 (best)Douglas: 0.42
RZ target shareBurden: 25%Douglas: 50% (best)
Catch rateBurden: 74% (best)Douglas: 69%
SeparationBurden: 3.1 ydsDouglas: 5.3 yds (best)
YAC over expectedBurden: +0.5Douglas: +0.8 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredBurden: Earned by usage 12.8Scored 13.9Douglas: Earned by usage 7.5Scored 13.1
Rush yards / gameBurden: 4.1 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Points from rushingBurden: 3%Douglas: 0%
Vacated targets this weekBurden: 2.0 (best)Douglas: 0.0
High value touches / gameBurden: 5.1 (best)Douglas: 3.0
Goal line carry shareBurden: 4% (best)Douglas: 0%
Red zone touches / gameBurden: 1.7 (best)Douglas: 0.7
Rush success rateBurden: 50%Douglas: 0 carries
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Burden: 0%Douglas: 0 carries
Inside 10 target shareBurden: 20%Douglas: 100% (best)
Rushing points / gameBurden: 0.4 pts / game (best)Douglas: 0.0 pts / game
Rushing floorBurden: 0.2 pts / game (best)Douglas: 0.0 pts / game
Range
FloorBurden: 7.4 (best)Douglas: 4.2
CeilingBurden: 19.0 (best)Douglas: 12.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBurden: 12%Douglas: 31%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Burden: 14%Douglas: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterBurden: 14%Douglas: 3 games
SteadinessBurden: Very steady±6.5 pts · 7 gamesDouglas: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmBurden: FDouglas: C+ (best)
Game scriptBurden: Expected to trail (best)Douglas: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBurden: 1.7Douglas: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelBurden: NeutralDouglas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedBurden: 1st (tough)Douglas: 19th (average) (best)
Starting QBBurden: Williams (Active)Douglas: Willis (Active)
WeatherBurden: No concernDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceBurden: OpenturfDouglas: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleBurden: 11 days restDouglas: Normal
Opp paceBurden: 9th (fast) (best)Douglas: 16th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBurden: 2.9 (best)11th (average)Douglas: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBurden: 56%3rd (tough)Douglas: 66% (best)26th (soft)
Opp rush yds allowedBurden: 6th (tough)Douglas: 8th (tough) (best)
Opp stuff rateBurden: 22%4th (tough)Douglas: 13% (best)28th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedBurden: 3.42nd (tough)Douglas: 4.1 (best)12th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgBurden: 16.7 (best)Douglas: 13.1
Last 5 avgBurden: 16.3 (best)Douglas: 13.1
vs seasonBurden: +2.8 (Rising) (best)Douglas: Rising
Yards per carryBurden: 3.6Douglas: 0 carries
Carries / gameBurden: 1.1 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Yards per route runBurden: 2.87 (best)Douglas: 2.86
Receiving aDOTBurden: 8.5Douglas: 10.5
Target share trendBurden: SteadyDouglas: Steady
Games since injuryBurden: None recentlyDouglas: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesBurden: 85% (best)Douglas: 61%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBurden: WR21 (best)Douglas: WR52
Yards linereceivingBurden: 51.5 (best)Douglas: 37.0
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.