Worthy
WR · KC @ DEN
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points8.7pts
Douglas
WR · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points7.6pts
Lean
Bench
Caleb Douglas or Xavier Worthy: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Xavier Worthy over Caleb Douglas.
- Ahead by
- +1.1pts
- over Douglas
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 42%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Caleb Douglas instead if you want a faster paced opponent.
Risk
Caleb Douglas has played 1 game since missing time. Weather in Caleb Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
WorthyLeanWR · KC @ DENUsually 8.6+0.1pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.29 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, below his usual 4.0.
- toughestper targetEdgeDEN allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.41 pts, toughest).
- 5.1floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.1 points.
DouglasFirst outWR · MIA vs NEUsually 13.1−5.5pts this week
Helps him
- 21.0last weekHe caught 2 for 70 yards and two touchdowns last week (21.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.67.
- −2.4ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 37.5 receiving yards, below his usual 61.0.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.0.
- 4.3per gameHe sees only 4.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWorthy: 8.7 (best)Douglas: 7.6
TD pointsof the projectionWorthy: 1.7 (best)Douglas: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekWorthy: 0.29 (best)Douglas: 0.21
Projected team pointsWorthy: 20.8 (best)Douglas: 18.0
Red zone targetsper gameWorthy: 0.7Douglas: 0.7
Role
Snap shareWorthy: 82%Douglas: 82%
Usage worthptsWorthy: 9.9 (best)Douglas: 7.5
Target shareWorthy: 20% (best)Douglas: 18%
Targets / gameWorthy: 5.8 (best)Douglas: 4.3
Air yards shareWorthy: 27% (best)Douglas: 23%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWorthy: In lineDouglas: 2 RZ targets
WOPRWorthy: 0.48 (best)Douglas: 0.42
RZ target shareWorthy: 15%Douglas: 50% (best)
Catch rateWorthy: 69%Douglas: 69%
SeparationWorthy: 3.4 ydsDouglas: 5.3 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWorthy: −0.5Douglas: +0.8 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredWorthy: Earned by usage 9.9Scored 8.6Douglas: Earned by usage 7.5Scored 13.1
Vacated targets this weekWorthy: 3.8 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareWorthy: 18%Douglas: 100% (best)
Range
FloorWorthy: 5.1 (best)Douglas: 4.2
CeilingWorthy: 14.4 (best)Douglas: 12.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWorthy: 12%Douglas: 31%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Worthy: 0%Douglas: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWorthy: 46%Douglas: 3 games
SteadinessWorthy: Steady±4.2 ptsDouglas: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWorthy: DDouglas: C+ (best)
Game scriptWorthy: Expected to lead (best)Douglas: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWorthy: 1.4Douglas: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelWorthy: NeutralDouglas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWorthy: 17th (average)Douglas: 19th (average) (best)
Starting QBWorthy: Mahomes (Active)Douglas: Willis (Active)
Opp defender outWorthy: Elliss (LB)Douglas: None listed
WeatherWorthy: No concernDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassWorthy: OpenDouglas: Open
Rest / scheduleWorthy: NormalDouglas: Normal
Opp paceWorthy: 30th (slow)Douglas: 16th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWorthy: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Douglas: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedWorthy: 54%2nd (tough)Douglas: 66% (best)26th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWorthy: 9.8Douglas: 13.1 (best)
Last 5 avgWorthy: 9.4Douglas: 13.1 (best)
vs seasonWorthy: +1.2 (Rising) (best)Douglas: Rising
Yards per route runWorthy: 1.28Douglas: 2.86 (best)
Receiving aDOTWorthy: 8.7Douglas: 10.5
Target share trendWorthy: CoolingDouglas: Steady
Games since injuryWorthy: None recentlyDouglas: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesWorthy: 43%Douglas: 61% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWorthy: WR44 (best)Douglas: WR51
Yards linereceivingWorthy: 33.0Douglas: 37.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
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