Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Start if active

Smith

WR · PHI @ WAS

Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Hamstring

Projected points5.7ptsUsage estimate

12.5 if he plays · 46% to play

First out

Tate

WR · TEN @ CIN

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Shoulder

Projected points11.2pts

if he plays · 40% to play

Start if active

Bench

Carnell Tate or DeVonta Smith: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Start DeVonta Smith.

Confidence: Depends on inactives; DeVonta Smith may not play (about 46% to play)
Started: 48%; of leagues

Smith's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

Start Carnell Tate instead if you go by the projection: he projects 5.5 more.

Risk

DeVonta Smith missed practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. DeVonta Smith missed his last game (hamstring). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. Carnell Tate missed practice (shoulder): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

SmithStart if activeWR · PHI @ WASUsually 17.3−11.6pts this week

Helps him

10.2per gameHe sees 10.2 targets a game.
87%snapsHe is on the field for 87% of snaps.
WASvs WRsEdgeWAS is the 11th softest defense for receivers.

Hurts him

−9.0ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 9.0 points off his projection.
−2.1ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
0.0floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.0 points.

TateFirst outWR · TEN @ CINUsually 11.0+0.2pts this week

Helps him

+0.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.25 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.

Hurts him

−0.8ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.5 receiving yards, below his usual 59.0.
17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection5.711.2

TD pointsof the projectionOur estimate1.5

Expected TDsthis weekOur estimate0.25

Projected team points17.017.0

Red zone targetsper game0.80.4

Role

Snap share87%82%

Usage worthpts17.412.3

Target share32%27%

Targets / game10.37.3

Air yards share48%47%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsAboveAbove

WOPR0.810.72

RZ target share27%12%

Catch rate63%67%

Separation2.4 yds2.7 yds

YAC over expected+0.3+0.5

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 17.4Scored 17.3Earned by usage 12.3Scored 11.0

Vacated targets this week0.00.0

Inside 10 target share33%25%

Range

Floor0.06.8

Ceiling9.519.0

Points from TDssteadier when lower17%8%

Big weeks (20+ pts)29%14%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better8%29%

SteadinessSteady±8.4 ptsSteady±7.1 pts · 7 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmBC

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.31.5

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed28th (soft)26th (soft)

Starting QBMcKee (Active)Ward (Active)

Opp defender outKinlaw (DT)None listed

Roof / surfaceOpengrassOpenturf

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace12th (average)20th (average)

Opp deep targets allowed / game3.826th (soft)3.014th (average)

Opp catch rate allowed67%28th (soft)58%7th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg20.210.2

Last 5 avg17.312.8

vs season+3.0−0.9 (Steady)

Yards per route run2.522.31

Receiving aDOT12.212.7

Target share trendSteadySteady

Games since injury0None recently

Crowd

Started in leagues49%77%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR63WR25

Yards linereceivingOur estimate51.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

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