Douglas
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points9.4pts
Johnston
WR · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points7.6ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
DeMario Douglas or Quentin Johnston: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. DeMario Douglas gets the nod over Quentin Johnston.
- Ahead by
- +1.8pts
- over Johnston
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Johnston's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
If the weather in DeMario Douglas's game turns worse, start Quentin Johnston.
Risk
Weather in DeMario Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Quentin Johnston has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.
Highlights
DouglasToss-upWR · NE @ MIAUsually 9.2+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +6.6last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 6.6 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.35 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
- 4.9per gameHe sees only 4.9 targets a game.
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
JohnstonFirst outWR · LAC @ LAUsually 5.0+2.7pts this week
Helps him
- +3.2ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- 15%targetsHe draws only 15% of his team’s targets.
- 4.4per gameHe sees only 4.4 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDouglas: 9.4 (best)Johnston: 7.6
TD pointsof the projectionDouglas: 2.1Johnston: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekDouglas: 0.35Johnston: Our estimate
Projected team pointsDouglas: 25.0 (best)Johnston: 19.3
Red zone targetsper gameDouglas: 0.6 (best)Johnston: 0.0
Role
Snap shareDouglas: 55%Johnston: 81% (best)
Usage worthptsDouglas: 8.4 (best)Johnston: 7.4
Target shareDouglas: 16% (best)Johnston: 15%
Targets / gameDouglas: 4.9 (best)Johnston: 4.4
Air yards shareDouglas: 18%Johnston: 25% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsDouglas: AboveJohnston: 0 RZ targets
WOPRDouglas: 0.36Johnston: 0.40 (best)
RZ target shareDouglas: 13% (best)Johnston: 0%
Catch rateDouglas: 68% (best)Johnston: 36%
SeparationDouglas: 3.9 yds (best)Johnston: 2.9 yds
YAC over expectedDouglas: +0.9 (best)Johnston: −1.3
Usage worth vs scoredDouglas: Earned by usage 8.4Scored 9.2Johnston: Earned by usage 7.4Scored 5.0
Vacated targets this weekDouglas: 9.0 (best)Johnston: 4.0
Inside 10 target shareDouglas: 15% (best)Johnston: 0%
Range
FloorDouglas: 4.9 (best)Johnston: 4.0
CeilingDouglas: 17.8 (best)Johnston: 13.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDouglas: 28%Johnston: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Douglas: 14% (best)Johnston: 8%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterDouglas: 57% (best)Johnston: 61%
SteadinessDouglas: Volatile±8.3 pts · 7 gamesJohnston: Up & down (best)±6.1 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDouglas: D-2026, 6 gmJohnston: C (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptDouglas: Expected to lead (best)Johnston: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDouglas: 0.8 (best)Johnston: 0.9
Defense funnelDouglas: NeutralJohnston: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedDouglas: 18th (average) (best)Johnston: 4th (tough)
Starting QBDouglas: Maye (Active)Johnston: Herbert (Active)
Opp defender outDouglas: None listedJohnston: Garrett (LB)
WeatherDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rainJohnston: Indoors
Roof / surfaceDouglas: OpengrassJohnston: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleDouglas: 10 days restJohnston: Off a bye
Opp paceDouglas: 31st (slow)Johnston: 3rd (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDouglas: 2.01st (tough)Johnston: 2.1 (best)5th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedDouglas: 72% (best)31st (soft)Johnston: 53%1st (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgDouglas: 15.8 (best)Johnston: 6.2
Last 5 avgDouglas: 11.1 (best)Johnston: 5.0
vs seasonDouglas: +6.6 (Rising) (best)Johnston: +1.3 (Rising)
Yards per route runDouglas: 1.63 (best)Johnston: 1.31
Receiving aDOTDouglas: 10.3Johnston: 14.0
Target share trendDouglas: SteadyJohnston: Steady
Games since injuryDouglas: None recentlyJohnston: 1
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDouglas: WR39 (best)Johnston: WR50
Yards linereceivingDouglas: 37.5Johnston: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.