Smith
WR · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Hamstring
Projected points5.7ptsUsage estimate
12.5 if he plays · 46% to play
Diggs
WR · WAS vs PHI
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points11.3pts
Start if active
Bench
DeVonta Smith or Stefon Diggs: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start DeVonta Smith. If he's inactive, start Stefon Diggs.
- Ahead by
- +1.2pts
- over Diggs if he plays
- Confidence
- Depends on inactives
- DeVonta Smith may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 48%
- of leagues
Smith's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
If DeVonta Smith is inactive, start Stefon Diggs.
Risk
DeVonta Smith missed practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Stefon Diggs. DeVonta Smith missed his last game (hamstring). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. Stefon Diggs has played 1 game since missing time. As of Fri 12:00 PM ET
Highlights
SmithStart if activeWR · PHI @ WASUsually 17.3−11.6pts this week
Helps him
- 32%targetsHe draws 32% of his team’s targets.
- 10.2per gameHe sees 10.2 targets a game.
Hurts him
- −9.0ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 9.0 points off his projection.
- −2.1ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
- 0.0floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.0 points.
DiggsIf he sitsWR · WAS vs PHIUsually 13.9−2.6pts this week
Helps him
- PHIvs WRsEdgeHe faces the Eagles, the 8th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −2.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.38 touchdowns, below his usual 0.80.
- 60%snapsHe plays only 60% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSmith: 5.7Diggs: 11.3 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionSmith: Our estimateDiggs: 2.3
Expected TDsthis weekSmith: Our estimateDiggs: 0.38
Projected team pointsSmith: 17.0Diggs: 23.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameSmith: 0.8Diggs: 1.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareSmith: 87% (best)Diggs: 60%
Usage worthptsSmith: 17.4 (best)Diggs: 13.0
Target shareSmith: 32% (best)Diggs: 23%
Targets / gameSmith: 10.3 (best)Diggs: 7.6
Air yards shareSmith: 48% (best)Diggs: 21%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSmith: AboveDiggs: Above
WOPRSmith: 0.81 (best)Diggs: 0.48
RZ target shareSmith: 27%Diggs: 28% (best)
Catch rateSmith: 63%Diggs: 63%
SeparationSmith: 2.4 ydsDiggs: 2.6 yds (best)
YAC over expectedSmith: +0.3 (best)Diggs: −0.5
Usage worth vs scoredSmith: Earned by usage 17.4Scored 17.3Diggs: Earned by usage 13.0Scored 13.9
Vacated targets this weekSmith: 0.0Diggs: 5.9 (best)
Inside 10 target shareSmith: 33% (best)Diggs: 27%
Range
FloorSmith: 0.0Diggs: 6.9 (best)
CeilingSmith: 9.5Diggs: 17.2 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSmith: 17%Diggs: 35%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Smith: 29% (best)Diggs: 20%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSmith: 8%Diggs: 0% (best)
SteadinessSmith: Steady±8.4 ptsDiggs: Very steady (best)±6.0 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionSmith: B2026, 6 gmDiggs: B2026, 7 gm
Game scriptSmith: Expected to trailDiggs: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSmith: 1.3Diggs: 0.4 (best)
Defense funnelSmith: NeutralDiggs: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSmith: 28th (soft) (best)Diggs: 24th (soft)
Starting QBSmith: McKee (Active)Diggs: Daniels (Active)
Opp defender outSmith: Kinlaw (DT)Diggs: None listed
Roof / surfacegrassSmith: OpenDiggs: Open
Rest / scheduleSmith: NormalDiggs: Off a bye
Opp paceSmith: 12th (average) (best)Diggs: 27th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSmith: 3.8 (best)26th (soft)Diggs: 3.319th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedSmith: 67% (best)28th (soft)Diggs: 59%10th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgSmith: 20.2 (best)Diggs: 10.7
Last 5 avgSmith: 17.3 (best)Diggs: 13.9
vs seasonSmith: +3.0 (best)Diggs: −3.1 (Cooling)
Yards per route runSmith: 2.52 (best)Diggs: 1.74
Receiving aDOTSmith: 12.2Diggs: 8.4
Target share trendSmith: SteadyDiggs: Steady
Games since injurySmith: 0Diggs: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesSmith: 49%Diggs: 78% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSmith: WR64Diggs: WR25 (best)
Yards linereceivingSmith: Our estimateDiggs: 44.5
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