Robinson
WR · TEN @ CIN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points10.0pts
Smith
WR · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Hamstring
Projected points5.7ptsUsage estimate
12.5 if he plays · 46% to play
Lean
Bench
DeVonta Smith or Wan'Dale Robinson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Wan'Dale Robinson over DeVonta Smith.
- Ahead by
- +4.3pts
- over Smith
- Confidence
- Moderate
- DeVonta Smith may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 38%
- of leagues
Smith's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Wan'Dale Robinson or a bigger role for DeVonta Smith.
Risk
DeVonta Smith missed practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. DeVonta Smith missed his last game (hamstring). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
RobinsonLeanWR · TEN @ CINUsually 8.8+1.2pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 39.5 receiving yards, above his usual 29.3.
Hurts him
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
SmithFirst outWR · PHI @ WASUsually 17.3−11.6pts this week
Helps him
- 32%targetsHe draws 32% of his team’s targets.
- 10.2per gameHe sees 10.2 targets a game.
- WASvs WRsEdgeWAS is the 11th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −9.0ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 9.0 points off his projection.
- −2.1ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- 17.0team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 17.0 points.
- 0.0floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.0 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionRobinson: 10.0 (best)Smith: 5.7
TD pointsof the projectionRobinson: 1.4Smith: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekRobinson: 0.24Smith: Our estimate
Projected team pointsRobinson: 17.0Smith: 17.0
Red zone targetsper gameRobinson: 1.1 (best)Smith: 0.8
Role
Snap shareRobinson: 66%Smith: 87% (best)
Usage worthptsRobinson: 10.5Smith: 17.4 (best)
Target shareRobinson: 21%Smith: 32% (best)
Targets / gameRobinson: 6.1Smith: 10.3 (best)
Air yards shareRobinson: 18%Smith: 48% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsRobinson: In lineSmith: Above
WOPRRobinson: 0.44Smith: 0.81 (best)
RZ target shareRobinson: 31% (best)Smith: 27%
Catch rateRobinson: 67% (best)Smith: 63%
SeparationRobinson: 3.2 yds (best)Smith: 2.4 yds
YAC over expectedRobinson: +0.5 (best)Smith: +0.3
Usage worth vs scoredRobinson: Earned by usage 10.5Scored 8.8Smith: Earned by usage 17.4Scored 17.3
Vacated targets this weekRobinson: 0.0Smith: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareRobinson: 38% (best)Smith: 33%
Range
FloorRobinson: 5.6 (best)Smith: 0.0
CeilingRobinson: 15.1 (best)Smith: 9.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerRobinson: 20%Smith: 17%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Robinson: 0%Smith: 29% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterRobinson: 43%Smith: 8% (best)
SteadinessRobinson: Steady±5.6 pts · 7 gamesSmith: Steady (best)±8.4 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmRobinson: CSmith: B (best)
Game scriptRobinson: Expected to trailSmith: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterRobinson: 1.5Smith: 1.3 (best)
Defense funnelRobinson: NeutralSmith: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedRobinson: 26th (soft)Smith: 28th (soft) (best)
Starting QBRobinson: Ward (Active)Smith: McKee (Active)
Opp defender outRobinson: None listedSmith: Kinlaw (DT)
Roof / surfaceRobinson: OpenturfSmith: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleRobinson: NormalSmith: Normal
Opp paceRobinson: 20th (average)Smith: 12th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameRobinson: 3.014th (average)Smith: 3.8 (best)26th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedRobinson: 58%7th (tough)Smith: 67% (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgRobinson: 7.1Smith: 20.2 (best)
Last 5 avgRobinson: 10.2Smith: 17.3 (best)
vs seasonRobinson: −1.7 (Cooling)Smith: +3.0 (best)
Yards per route runRobinson: 1.21Smith: 2.52 (best)
Receiving aDOTRobinson: 5.8Smith: 12.2
Target share trendRobinson: SteadySmith: Steady
Games since injuryRobinson: None recentlySmith: 0
Crowd
Started in leaguesRobinson: 39%Smith: 49% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterRobinson: WR33 (best)Smith: WR63
Yards linereceivingRobinson: 39.5Smith: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
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