New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
Pass TD
New comparison
Lean

Maye

QB · NE @ MIA

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points17.4pts

First out

Stafford

QB · LA vs LAC

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points14.8pts

Lean

Bench

Drake Maye or Matthew Stafford: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Drake Maye over Matthew Stafford.

Ahead by
+2.6pts
over Stafford
Confidence
Moderate
Lean
Started
95%
of leagues

Flips if

If the weather in Drake Maye's game turns worse, start Matthew Stafford.

Risk

Weather in Drake Maye's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 1:00 PM ET
MayeLeanQB · NE @ MIAUsually 19.8−2.4pts this week

Helps him

  1. 25.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.0 points.
  2. +10.5last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 10.5 points above his season average.
  3. 4games in a rowHe has thrown two or more touchdowns in 4 straight games.

Hurts him

  1. −1.6pts2 linesPassing yards 233.5 (usual 254.9) and rushing yards 23.5 (usual 30.1) both sit below his usual.
  2. −1.4ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 1.86.
  3. 6th softestper passEdgeMIA allows few QB chances because teams throw little against them; per pass they’re soft (0.65 pts, 6th softest).
  4. 3.7%INT rateHe throws an interception on 3.7% of his passes.
StaffordFirst outQB · LA vs LACUsually 17.6−2.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. 41.7dropbacksHe drops back 41.7 times a game.
  2. 3games in a rowHe has thrown two or more touchdowns in 3 straight games.

Hurts him

  1. −2.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 2.00.
  2. −1.3ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 250.5 passing yards, below his usual 284.1.
  3. LACvs QBsEdgeLAC is the 3rd toughest defense for quarterbacks.
  4. 11.3floorA quiet week could drop to about 11.3 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMaye: 17.4 (best)Stafford: 14.8
Rush TD pointsof the projectionMaye: 1.6 (best)Stafford: 0.3
Rush TDs expectedthis weekMaye: 0.26 (best)Stafford: 0.05
Projected team pointsMaye: 25.0Stafford: 25.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameMaye: 0.4 (best)Stafford: 0.1
Red zone carriesper gameMaye: 0.7 (best)Stafford: 0.4
Pass attempts / gameMaye: 30.6Stafford: 39.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareMaye: 97%Stafford: 98% (best)
Touch shareMaye: 11% (best)Stafford: 4%
Touches / gameMaye: 5.4 (best)Stafford: 2.0
Yards per attemptMaye: 8.3 (best)Stafford: 7.2
Pass TD rateMaye: 6% (best)Stafford: 5%
Rush yards / gameMaye: 30.1 (best)Stafford: 2.6
Points from rushingMaye: 24%Stafford: 1%
Rushing points / gameMaye: 4.7 pts / game (best)Stafford: 0.3 pts / game
Rushing floorMaye: 3.6 pts / game (best)Stafford: 0.3 pts / game
Designed runs / gameMaye: 1.0 (best)Stafford: 0.3
Scrambles / gameMaye: 3.3 (best)Stafford: 0.6
Dropbacks / gameMaye: 35.7Stafford: 41.7 (best)
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameMaye: 0.4 (best)Stafford: 0.1
Sacks per dropbackMaye: 5%Stafford: 4% (best)
INT rateMaye: 3.7%Stafford: 2.5% (best)
Pass aDOTMaye: 9.0Stafford: 7.9
High value touches / gameMaye: 0.6 (best)Stafford: 0.1
Goal line carry shareMaye: 50% (best)Stafford: 9%
Red zone touches / gameMaye: 0.7 (best)Stafford: 0.4
Rush success rateMaye: 63% (best)Stafford: 50%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Maye: 6.7% (best)Stafford: 0%
Range
FloorMaye: 13.4 (best)Stafford: 11.3
CeilingMaye: 25.0 (best)Stafford: 20.7
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMaye: 9%Stafford: 0%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Maye: 35% (best)Stafford: 30%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterMaye: 27%Stafford: 22% (best)
SteadinessMaye: Steady±10.4 ptsStafford: Very steady (best)±7.9 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmMaye: B (best)Stafford: D
Game scriptMaye: Expected to lead (best)Stafford: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMaye: 0.8 (best)Stafford: 1.7
Defense funnelMaye: NeutralStafford: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMaye: 18th (average) (best)Stafford: 7th (tough)
Opp sacks / gameMaye: 1.0 (best)Stafford: 1.8
WeatherMaye: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rainStafford: Indoors
Roof / surfaceMaye: OpengrassStafford: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleMaye: 10 days restStafford: Normal
Opp paceMaye: 31st (slow)Stafford: 15th (average) (best)
Opp pressure rateMaye: 20% (best)18th (average)Stafford: 23%11th (average)
Pressure facedMaye: 24%Stafford: 15% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedMaye: 16th (average)Stafford: 21st (average) (best)
Opp stuff rateMaye: 19%11th (average)Stafford: 14% (best)25th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedMaye: 4.213th (average)Stafford: 4.3 (best)17th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / game2nd (tough)Maye: 2.5Stafford: 2.5
Opp catch rate allowedMaye: 81% (best)32nd (soft)Stafford: 70%26th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgMaye: 30.2 (best)Stafford: 20.6
Last 5 avgMaye: 24.1 (best)Stafford: 18.5
vs seasonMaye: +10.5 (Rising) (best)Stafford: +2.9 (Rising)
Yards per carryMaye: 5.6 (best)Stafford: 1.3
Carries / gameMaye: 5.4 (best)Stafford: 2.0
Pass volume trendMaye: SteadyStafford: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesMaye: 96% (best)Stafford: 78%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMaye: QB7 (best)Stafford: QB21
Yards linepassingMaye: 233.5Stafford: 250.5 (best)

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