Dobbins
RB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points6.4pts
Washington
RB · LV @ NYJ
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points6.6pts
Toss-up
Bench
J.K. Dobbins or Mike Washington Jr.: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. J.K. Dobbins gets the nod over Mike Washington Jr.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
- Started
- 38%
- of leagues
Case for Washington
The case for Washington is a softer run defense (4.1 yards a carry allowed to 3.4) and more long runs (5.0% of carries go 20+ yards to 0%).
Flips if
Start Mike Washington Jr. instead if you want more long runs (5.0% of carries go 20+ yards to 0%).
Risk
The risk: Dobbins's share of the backfield touches fell to 15% in Week 7, against 31% for the season.
Highlights
DobbinsToss-upRB · DEN vs KCUsually 8.3−1.9pts this week
Helps him
- 1.1inside the 5He averages 1.1 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
- +4.1last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.1 points above his season average.
- 3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 22.5 rushing yards, below his usual 41.9.
- −0.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.35 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
- KCvs RBsEdgeKC is the 9th toughest defense for running backs.
- 41%snapsHe plays only 41% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
WashingtonFirst outRB · LV @ NYJUsually 4.2+2.4pts this week
Helps him
- +0.8ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.27 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
Hurts him
- 13%touchesHe handles only 13% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- 6th toughestper carryEdgeNYJ allows plenty of RB chances because teams run on them a lot; per carry or target they’re tough (0.79 pts, 6th toughest).
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDobbins: 6.4Washington: 6.6 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionDobbins: 2.1 (best)Washington: 1.6
Expected TDsthis weekDobbins: 0.35 (best)Washington: 0.27
Projected team pointsDobbins: 19.8Washington: 22.0 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameDobbins: 1.1 (best)Washington: 0.1
Red zone carriesper gameDobbins: 1.9 (best)Washington: 1.1
Red zone targetsper gameDobbins: 0.0Washington: 0.0
Role
Snap shareDobbins: 41% (best)Washington: 21%
Usage worthptsDobbins: 10.3 (best)Washington: 4.4
Touch shareDobbins: 31% (best)Washington: 13%
Target shareDobbins: 5% (best)Washington: 2%
Touches / gameDobbins: 13.6 (best)Washington: 6.1
Targets / gameDobbins: 1.3 (best)Washington: 0.9
Air yards shareDobbins: Behind the lineWashington: 0.2%
Vacated touches this weekDobbins: 2.6 (best)Washington: 0.0
High value touches / gameDobbins: 2.6 (best)Washington: 0.7
Goal line carry shareDobbins: 62% (best)Washington: 9%
Red zone touches / gameDobbins: 1.9 (best)Washington: 1.1
Rush success rateDobbins: 30%Washington: 30%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Dobbins: 0%Washington: 5.0% (best)
Usage worth vs scoredDobbins: Earned by usage 10.3Scored 8.3Washington: Earned by usage 4.4Scored 4.2
Rush yards / gameDobbins: 41.9 (best)Washington: 27.9
Points from rushingDobbins: 82%Washington: 86%
WOPRDobbins: 0.06 (best)Washington: 0.03
RZ target shareDobbins: 0%Washington: 0%
Inside 10 target shareDobbins: 0%Washington: 0%
Catch rateDobbins: 89% (best)Washington: 50%
Rushing points / gameDobbins: 6.8 pts / game (best)Washington: 3.6 pts / game
Rushing floorDobbins: 5.6 pts / game (best)Washington: 2.8 pts / game
Range
FloorDobbins: 3.8Washington: 4.0 (best)
CeilingDobbins: 10.3 (best)Washington: 10.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDobbins: 31%Washington: 20%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Dobbins: 0%Washington: 2 games
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterDobbins: 67%Washington: 2 games
SteadinessDobbins: Steady±5.1 pts · 6 gamesWashington: 2 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDobbins: D+2026, 6 gmWashington: B (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptDobbins: Expected to trail (best)Washington: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDobbins: 1.7Washington: 1.1 (best)
Defense funnelDobbins: NeutralWashington: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedDobbins: 13th (average)Washington: 24th (soft) (best)
Backfield roleDobbins: CommitteeWashington: Backup
Roof / surfaceDobbins: OpengrassWashington: Openturf
Rest / scheduleDobbins: NormalWashington: Normal
Opp paceDobbins: 24th (slow) (best)Washington: 28th (slow)
Opp stuff rateDobbins: 21%9th (tough)Washington: 14% (best)27th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedDobbins: 3.42nd (tough)Washington: 4.1 (best)12th (average)
Opp pass yds allowedDobbins: 12th (average) (best)Washington: 5th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDobbins: 0.01st (tough)Washington: 0.1 (best)24th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedDobbins: 79% (best)17th (average)Washington: 71%7th (tough)
Starting QBDobbins: Nix (Active)Washington: Cousins (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgDobbins: 12.4 (best)Washington: 3.6
Last 5 avgDobbins: 10.2 (best)Washington: 5.0
vs seasonDobbins: +4.1 (Rising) (best)Washington: −0.7 (Cooling)
Yards per carryDobbins: 3.4Washington: 4.9 (best)
Carries / gameDobbins: 12.4 (best)Washington: 5.7
Yards per route runDobbins: 0.87 (best)Washington: 0.34
Receiving aDOTDobbins: −1.1Washington: 0.7
Touch share trendDobbins: SteadyWashington: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesDobbins: 38%Washington: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDobbins: RB36Washington: RB34 (best)
Yards linerushingDobbins: 22.5Washington: 31.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.