New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison
Start

Chase

WR · CIN vs TEN

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points19.2pts

First out

Jefferson

WR · MIN @ DET

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points15.8pts

Start

Bench

Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Start Ja'Marr Chase over Justin Jefferson.

Ahead by
+3.4pts
over Jefferson
Confidence
High
Start
Started
99%
of leagues

Flips if

An injury tag on Ja'Marr Chase or a bigger role for Justin Jefferson.

Risk

Justin Jefferson has played 2 games since missing time.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 1:00 PM ET
ChaseStartWR · CIN vs TENUsually 18.3+0.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. +1.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 81.0 receiving yards, above his usual 64.8.
  2. +0.7ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, above his usual 5.8.
  3. 29.5team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 29.5 points, a high scoring spot.
  4. 15.0floorA quiet week still projects to about 15.0 points.

Hurts him

  1. −1.4ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.76 touchdowns, below his usual 1.00.
JeffersonFirst outWR · MIN @ DETUsually 16.7−0.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. +0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 76.5 receiving yards, above his usual 67.5.
  2. 26%targetsHe draws 26% of his team’s targets.

Hurts him

  1. −1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.43 touchdowns, below his usual 0.75.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionChase: 19.2 (best)Jefferson: 15.8
TD pointsof the projectionChase: 4.6 (best)Jefferson: 2.6
Expected TDsthis weekChase: 0.76 (best)Jefferson: 0.43
Projected team pointsChase: 29.5 (best)Jefferson: 21.3
Red zone targetsper gameChase: 1.3 (best)Jefferson: 1.2
Role
Snap shareChase: 80% (best)Jefferson: 77%
Usage worthptsChase: 13.0 (best)Jefferson: 11.2
Target shareChase: 23%Jefferson: 26% (best)
Targets / gameChase: 7.5 (best)Jefferson: 6.2
Air yards shareChase: 27%Jefferson: 35% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsChase: AboveJefferson: Above
WOPRChase: 0.56Jefferson: 0.66 (best)
RZ target shareChase: 26%Jefferson: 31% (best)
Catch rateChase: 71%Jefferson: 74% (best)
SeparationChase: 2.7 ydsJefferson: 2.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedChase: +1.6 (best)Jefferson: +1.0
Usage worth vs scoredChase: Earned by usage 13.0Scored 16.2Jefferson: Earned by usage 11.2Scored 14.4
Vacated targets this weekChase: 6.8 (best)Jefferson: 1.7
Inside 10 target shareChase: 24%Jefferson: 25% (best)
Range
FloorChase: 15.0 (best)Jefferson: 8.5
CeilingChase: 27.4 (best)Jefferson: 25.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerChase: 31%Jefferson: 25%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Chase: 46% (best)Jefferson: 25%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterChase: 15%Jefferson: 0% (best)
SteadinessChase: Very steady (best)±8.6 ptsJefferson: Steady±10.8 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionChase: A2026, 7 gmJefferson: A+ (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptChase: Expected to lead (best)Jefferson: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterChase: 1.0Jefferson: 1.0
Defense funnelChase: NeutralJefferson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedChase: 23rd (soft)Jefferson: 32nd (soft) (best)
Starting QBChase: Burrow (Active)Jefferson: Murray (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfChase: OpenJefferson: Dome
Rest / scheduleChase: NormalJefferson: Normal
Opp paceChase: 32nd (slow)Jefferson: 4th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameChase: 3.319th (average)Jefferson: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedChase: 73% (best)32nd (soft)Jefferson: 66%27th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgChase: 14.2 (best)Jefferson: 10.8
Last 5 avgChase: 18.8 (best)Jefferson: 14.4
vs seasonChase: −2.0 (Cooling) (best)Jefferson: −3.6 (Cooling)
Yards per route runChase: 2.08Jefferson: 2.90 (best)
Receiving aDOTChase: 9.3Jefferson: 10.9
Games since injuryChase: None recentlyJefferson: 2
Crowd
Started in leaguesChase: 99% (best)Jefferson: 97%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterChase: WR4 (best)Jefferson: WR9
Yards linereceivingChase: 81.0 (best)Jefferson: 76.5

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