Flowers
WR · BAL @ BUF
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points18.1pts
Jefferson
WR · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Lean
Bench
Justin Jefferson or Zay Flowers: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Zay Flowers over Justin Jefferson.
- Ahead by
- +2.3pts
- over Jefferson
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 99%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Justin Jefferson instead if you want more of the snaps (77% to 65%).
Risk
Justin Jefferson has played 2 games since missing time.
Highlights
FlowersLeanWR · BAL @ BUFUsually 20.2−2.1pts this week
Helps him
- 11.4floorA quiet week still projects to about 11.4 points.
- 50%big weeks50% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 82.5 receiving yards, below his usual 93.5.
- −1.0ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, below his usual 7.5.
JeffersonFirst outWR · MIN @ DETUsually 16.7−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 76.5 receiving yards, above his usual 67.5.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.43 touchdowns, below his usual 0.75.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionFlowers: 18.1 (best)Jefferson: 15.8
TD pointsof the projectionFlowers: 3.0 (best)Jefferson: 2.6
Expected TDsthis weekFlowers: 0.50 (best)Jefferson: 0.43
Projected team pointsFlowers: 25.8 (best)Jefferson: 21.3
Red zone targetsper gameFlowers: 1.2Jefferson: 1.2
Role
Snap shareFlowers: 65%Jefferson: 77% (best)
Usage worthptsFlowers: 15.1 (best)Jefferson: 11.2
Target shareFlowers: 31% (best)Jefferson: 26%
Targets / gameFlowers: 8.8 (best)Jefferson: 6.2
Air yards shareFlowers: 33%Jefferson: 35% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsFlowers: AboveJefferson: Above
WOPRFlowers: 0.69 (best)Jefferson: 0.66
RZ target shareFlowers: 27%Jefferson: 31% (best)
Catch rateFlowers: 75% (best)Jefferson: 74%
SeparationFlowers: 3.1 yds (best)Jefferson: 2.9 yds
YAC over expectedFlowers: +2.0 (best)Jefferson: +1.0
Usage worth vs scoredFlowers: Earned by usage 15.1Scored 20.4Jefferson: Earned by usage 11.2Scored 14.4
Vacated targets this weekFlowers: 0.7Jefferson: 1.7 (best)
Inside 10 target shareFlowers: 8%Jefferson: 25% (best)
Range
FloorFlowers: 11.4 (best)Jefferson: 8.5
CeilingFlowers: 27.1 (best)Jefferson: 25.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerFlowers: 15%Jefferson: 25%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Flowers: 50% (best)Jefferson: 25%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterFlowers: 0%Jefferson: 0%
SteadinessFlowers: Very steady (best)±6.8 pts · 6 gamesJefferson: Steady±10.8 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmFlowers: A+Jefferson: A+
Game scriptFlowers: Expected to trail (best)Jefferson: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterFlowers: 1.0Jefferson: 1.0
Defense funnelFlowers: NeutralJefferson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedFlowers: 31st (soft)Jefferson: 32nd (soft) (best)
Starting QBFlowers: Huntley (Active)Jefferson: Murray (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfFlowers: OpenJefferson: Dome
Rest / scheduleFlowers: NormalJefferson: Normal
Opp paceFlowers: 24th (slow)Jefferson: 4th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameFlowers: 3.217th (average)Jefferson: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedFlowers: 64%21st (average)Jefferson: 66% (best)27th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgFlowers: 18.3 (best)Jefferson: 10.8
Last 5 avgFlowers: 19.2 (best)Jefferson: 14.4
vs seasonFlowers: −2.0 (Cooling) (best)Jefferson: −3.6 (Cooling)
Yards per route runFlowers: 4.08 (best)Jefferson: 2.90
Receiving aDOTFlowers: 8.2Jefferson: 10.9
Target share trendFlowers: SteadyJefferson: Left Week 3 hurt
Games since injuryFlowers: None recentlyJefferson: 2
Crowd
Started in leaguesFlowers: 99% (best)Jefferson: 97%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterFlowers: WR5 (best)Jefferson: WR9
Yards linereceivingFlowers: 82.5 (best)Jefferson: 76.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.