Jefferson
WR · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Burden
WR · CHI @ SEA
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points12.1pts
Start
Bench
Justin Jefferson or Luther Burden III: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Justin Jefferson over Luther Burden III.
- Ahead by
- +3.7pts
- over Burden
- Confidence
- High
- Start
- Started
- 97%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Justin Jefferson or a bigger role for Luther Burden III.
Risk
Justin Jefferson has played 2 games since missing time.
Highlights
JeffersonStartWR · MIN @ DETUsually 16.7−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 76.5 receiving yards, above his usual 67.5.
- 26%targetsHe draws 26% of his team’s targets.
- DETvs WRsEdgeDET is the 2nd softest defense for receivers.
- 25.5ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.5 points.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.43 touchdowns, below his usual 0.75.
BurdenFirst outWR · CHI @ SEAUsually 13.9−1.8pts this week
Helps him
- 23.7last weekHe caught 4 for 130 yards and a touchdown last week (23.7 points).
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.0 receiving yards, below his usual 70.1.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.0.
- SEAvs WRsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.
- 61%snapsHe plays only 61% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJefferson: 15.8 (best)Burden: 12.1
TD pointsof the projectionJefferson: 2.6 (best)Burden: 2.1
Expected TDsthis weekJefferson: 0.43 (best)Burden: 0.35
Projected team pointsJefferson: 21.3Burden: 21.8 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameJefferson: 0.0Burden: 0.1 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameJefferson: 0.0Burden: 0.4 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameJefferson: 1.2Burden: 1.3 (best)
Role
Snap shareJefferson: 77% (best)Burden: 61%
Usage worthptsJefferson: 11.2Burden: 12.8 (best)
Touch shareJefferson: 10%Burden: 10%
Target shareJefferson: 26% (best)Burden: 21%
Touches / gameJefferson: 4.8Burden: 6.1 (best)
Targets / gameJefferson: 6.2Burden: 6.7 (best)
Air yards shareJefferson: 35% (best)Burden: 26%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJefferson: AboveBurden: In line
WOPRJefferson: 0.66 (best)Burden: 0.49
RZ target shareJefferson: 31% (best)Burden: 25%
Catch rateJefferson: 74%Burden: 74%
SeparationJefferson: 2.9 ydsBurden: 3.1 yds (best)
YAC over expectedJefferson: +1.0 (best)Burden: +0.5
Usage worth vs scoredJefferson: Earned by usage 11.2Scored 14.4Burden: Earned by usage 12.8Scored 13.9
Rush yards / gameJefferson: −2.2Burden: 4.1 (best)
Points from rushingJefferson: Lost yardsBurden: 3%
Vacated targets this weekJefferson: 1.7Burden: 2.0 (best)
High value touches / gameJefferson: 4.6Burden: 5.1 (best)
Goal line carry shareJefferson: 0%Burden: 4% (best)
Red zone touches / gameJefferson: 1.0Burden: 1.7 (best)
Rush success rateJefferson: 0%Burden: 50% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Jefferson: 0%Burden: 0%
Inside 10 target shareJefferson: 25% (best)Burden: 20%
Rushing points / gameJefferson: −0.2 pts / gameBurden: 0.4 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorJefferson: −0.2 pts / gameBurden: 0.2 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorJefferson: 8.5 (best)Burden: 7.4
CeilingJefferson: 25.5 (best)Burden: 18.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJefferson: 25%Burden: 12%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Jefferson: 25% (best)Burden: 14%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterJefferson: 0% (best)Burden: 14%
SteadinessJefferson: Steady±10.8 pts · 4 gamesBurden: Very steady (best)±6.5 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionJefferson: A+ (best)2026, 6 gmBurden: F2026, 7 gm
Game scriptJefferson: Expected to trailBurden: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJefferson: 1.0 (best)Burden: 1.7
Defense funnelJefferson: NeutralBurden: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedJefferson: 32nd (soft) (best)Burden: 1st (tough)
Starting QBJefferson: Murray (Active)Burden: Williams (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfJefferson: DomeBurden: Open
Rest / scheduleJefferson: NormalBurden: 11 days rest
Opp paceJefferson: 4th (fast) (best)Burden: 9th (fast)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameJefferson: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)Burden: 2.911th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedJefferson: 66% (best)27th (soft)Burden: 56%3rd (tough)
Opp rush yds allowedJefferson: 12th (average) (best)Burden: 6th (tough)
Opp stuff rateJefferson: 18% (best)16th (average)Burden: 22%4th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedJefferson: 4.1 (best)12th (average)Burden: 3.42nd (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgJefferson: 10.8Burden: 16.7 (best)
Last 5 avgJefferson: 14.4Burden: 16.3 (best)
vs seasonJefferson: −3.6 (Cooling)Burden: +2.8 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryJefferson: 1 carryBurden: 3.6
Carries / gameJefferson: 0.2Burden: 1.1 (best)
Yards per route runJefferson: 2.90 (best)Burden: 2.87
Receiving aDOTJefferson: 10.9Burden: 8.5
Target share trendJefferson: Left Week 3 hurtBurden: Steady
Games since injuryJefferson: 2Burden: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesJefferson: 97% (best)Burden: 85%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJefferson: WR9 (best)Burden: WR21
Yards linereceivingJefferson: 76.5 (best)Burden: 51.0
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.