Jefferson
WR · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Golden
WR · GB vs CAR
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points20.9pts
projected 13.3
Justin Jefferson or Matthew Golden: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Highlights
JeffersonWR · MIN @ DETUsually 16.7−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 76.5 receiving yards, above his usual 67.5.
- DETvs WRsEdgeDET is the 2nd softest defense for receivers.
- 25.5ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.5 points.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.43 touchdowns, below his usual 0.75.
GoldenWR · GB vs CARUsually 15.8−2.5pts this week
Helps him
- 9.9per gameHe sees 9.9 targets a game.
- 2.0red zoneHe gets 2.0 red zone targets a game, a real path to touchdowns.
- 43%big weeks43% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −2.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 57.5 receiving yards, below his usual 77.1.
- −0.6ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.1.
- CARvs WRsEdgeCAR is the 6th toughest defense for receivers.
- 0.0floorA quiet week could drop to about 0.0 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionJefferson: 15.8 (best)Golden: 13.3
TD pointsof the projectionJefferson: 2.6Golden: 2.8 (best)
Expected TDsthis weekJefferson: 0.43Golden: 0.47 (best)
Projected team pointsJefferson: 21.3Golden: 25.5 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameJefferson: 1.2Golden: 2.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareJefferson: 77%Golden: 83% (best)
Usage worthptsJefferson: 11.2Golden: 18.4 (best)
Target shareJefferson: 26%Golden: 26%
Targets / gameJefferson: 6.2Golden: 9.9 (best)
Air yards shareJefferson: 35%Golden: 40% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsJefferson: AboveGolden: In line
WOPRJefferson: 0.66Golden: 0.67 (best)
RZ target shareJefferson: 31%Golden: 33% (best)
Catch rateJefferson: 74% (best)Golden: 52%
SeparationJefferson: 2.9 yds (best)Golden: 2.7 yds
YAC over expectedJefferson: +1.0 (best)Golden: −0.02
Usage worth vs scoredJefferson: Earned by usage 11.2Scored 14.4Golden: Earned by usage 18.4Scored 15.8
Vacated targets this weekJefferson: 1.7Golden: 8.8 (best)
Inside 10 target shareJefferson: 25%Golden: 28% (best)
Range
FloorJefferson: 8.5 (best)Golden: 0.0
CeilingJefferson: 25.5 (best)Golden: 19.9
Points from TDssteadier when lowerJefferson: 25%Golden: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Jefferson: 25%Golden: 43% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterJefferson: 0%Golden: 0%
SteadinessJefferson: Steady±10.8 pts · 4 gamesGolden: Very steady (best)±5.5 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmJefferson: A+ (best)Golden: D
Game scriptJefferson: Expected to trailGolden: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterJefferson: 1.0 (best)Golden: 1.2
Defense funnelJefferson: NeutralGolden: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedJefferson: 32nd (soft) (best)Golden: 6th (tough)
Starting QBJefferson: Murray (Active)Golden: Love (Active)
Opp defender outJefferson: None listedGolden: Phillips (LB)
Roof / surfaceJefferson: DometurfGolden: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleJefferson: NormalGolden: Short week (4d)
Opp paceJefferson: 4th (fast) (best)Golden: 6th (fast)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameJefferson: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)Golden: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedJefferson: 66% (best)27th (soft)Golden: 61%15th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgJefferson: 10.8Golden: 17.5 (best)
Last 5 avgJefferson: 14.4Golden: 17.1 (best)
vs seasonJefferson: −3.6 (Cooling)Golden: +1.7 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runJefferson: 2.90 (best)Golden: 2.15
Receiving aDOTJefferson: 10.9Golden: 14.2
Target share trendJefferson: Left Week 3 hurtGolden: Steady
Games since injuryJefferson: 2Golden: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesJefferson: 97% (best)Golden: 83%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterJefferson: WR9 (best)Golden: WR15
Yards linereceivingJefferson: 76.5 (best)Golden: 57.5
Deciding on someone else?
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