Williams
WR · WAS vs PHI
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points8.7pts
Johnston
WR · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points7.6ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Antonio Williams or Quentin Johnston: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Antonio Williams gets the nod over Quentin Johnston.
- Ahead by
- +1.1pts
- over Johnston
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 41%
- of leagues
Johnston's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Quentin Johnston instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (8% of his games to 0%).
Risk
Quentin Johnston has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.
Highlights
WilliamsToss-upWR · WAS vs PHIUsually 7.4+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.2pts2 linesTouchdowns 0.28 (usual 0.17) and catches 3.5 (usual 3.0) both sit above his usual.
- PHIvs WRsEdgePHI is the 8th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- 2ndlowest totalEdgeHe plays in the 2nd lowest scoring game on the slate.
JohnstonFirst outWR · LAC @ LAUsually 5.0+2.7pts this week
Helps him
- +3.2ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- 15%targetsHe draws only 15% of his team’s targets.
- 4.4per gameHe sees only 4.4 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilliams: 8.7 (best)Johnston: 7.6
TD pointsof the projectionWilliams: 1.7Johnston: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekWilliams: 0.28Johnston: Our estimate
Projected team pointsWilliams: 23.0 (best)Johnston: 19.3
Red zone targetsper gameWilliams: 0.3 (best)Johnston: 0.0
Role
Snap shareWilliams: 55%Johnston: 81% (best)
Usage worthptsWilliams: 7.3Johnston: 7.4 (best)
Target shareWilliams: 14%Johnston: 15% (best)
Targets / gameWilliams: 4.3Johnston: 4.4 (best)
Air yards shareWilliams: 18%Johnston: 25% (best)
WOPRWilliams: 0.32Johnston: 0.40 (best)
RZ target shareWilliams: 10% (best)Johnston: 0%
Catch rateWilliams: 69% (best)Johnston: 36%
SeparationWilliams: 2.2 ydsJohnston: 2.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWilliams: −0.8 (best)Johnston: −1.3
Usage worth vs scoredWilliams: Earned by usage 7.3Scored 7.4Johnston: Earned by usage 7.4Scored 5.0
Vacated targets this weekWilliams: 5.9 (best)Johnston: 4.0
Inside 10 target shareWilliams: 8% (best)Johnston: 0%
Range
FloorWilliams: 5.4 (best)Johnston: 4.0
CeilingWilliams: 13.3Johnston: 13.8 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilliams: 14%Johnston: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Williams: 0%Johnston: 8% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWilliams: 67%Johnston: 61% (best)
SteadinessWilliams: Steady (best)±4.6 pts · 6 gamesJohnston: Up & down±6.1 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWilliams: B (best)Johnston: C
Game scriptWilliams: Expected to lead (best)Johnston: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilliams: 0.4 (best)Johnston: 0.9
Defense funnelWilliams: NeutralJohnston: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilliams: 24th (soft) (best)Johnston: 4th (tough)
Starting QBWilliams: Daniels (Active)Johnston: Herbert (Active)
Opp defender outWilliams: None listedJohnston: Garrett (LB)
Roof / surfaceWilliams: OpengrassJohnston: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleWilliams: Off a byeJohnston: Off a bye
Opp paceWilliams: 27th (slow)Johnston: 3rd (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilliams: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Johnston: 2.15th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedWilliams: 59% (best)10th (tough)Johnston: 53%1st (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgWilliams: 6.4 (best)Johnston: 6.2
Last 5 avgWilliams: 5.6 (best)Johnston: 5.0
vs seasonWilliams: −1.0 (Cooling)Johnston: +1.3 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runWilliams: 1.74 (best)Johnston: 1.31
Receiving aDOTWilliams: 11.7Johnston: 14.0
Target share trendWilliams: CoolingJohnston: Steady
Games since injuryWilliams: None recentlyJohnston: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilliams: 41%Johnston: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilliams: WR43 (best)Johnston: WR50
Yards linereceivingWilliams: 35.0Johnston: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
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